6.75

2015-16 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 10 · Thu, 17 Dec 2015

Strasbourg at Real Madrid

65–97Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Sergio Llull *238250002+282-62-42-2
Gustavo Ayon *214262023+252-20-00-0
Jonas Maciulis *2010142011+244-70-32-2
Sergio Rodriguez *1914151022+195-73-41-2
Felipe Reyes *1812721003+235-70-02-2
Trey Thompkins2412440212+225-92-30-0
Jaycee Carroll2310320021+83-51-23-3
Jeffery Taylor2116310021+107-90-12-3
Luka Doncic133470111+51-20-01-2
Willy Hernangomez114200110−52-20-00-0
Maurice Ndour74100000+12-30-10-0
Team200973036641216+3238-598-1813-16

Strasbourg

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Kyle Weems *333343013−201-61-40-2
Louis Campbell *309350023−154-81-30-0
Matt Howard *277624041−182-70-03-4
Rodrigue Beaubois *2617210012−227-143-60-0
Bangaly Fofana *124200031−62-30-00-0
Vladimir Golubovic1910900010−144-110-02-3
Paul Lacombe170121213−180-20-00-0
Mardy Collins133000001−141-40-01-4
Jeremy Leloup125010015−221-30-13-3
Romain Duport117110001−113-61-10-0
Team200652716821420−3225-646-159-16

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q1 05:52Three-point make, Real Madrid+5.1 pp for Real Madrid4–8
  2. Q1 07:05Three-point make, Real Madrid+2.2 pp for Real Madrid2–3
  3. Q2 01:56Two-point make, Strasbourg+2.0 pp for Strasbourg37–49
  4. Q1 10:00Two-point make, Strasbourg+1.8 pp for Strasbourg2–0
  5. Q1 02:39Three-point make, Real Madrid+1.8 pp for Real Madrid9–22

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridStrasbourg
Dominance+0.93−0.93
Control100%0%
Drama0.260.26
Comeback18%100%
Crunch0.000.00

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +11 Q1 05:21 to Q1 03:24 6–8 to 6–19
  2. +11 Q3 04:44 to Q3 01:58 49–64 to 49–75
  3. +10 Q4 07:43 to Q4 04:53 52–77 to 52–87

Strasbourg

  1. +6 Q2 05:24 to Q2 04:46 22–44 to 28–44
  2. +6 Q2 02:27 to Q2 01:56 31–49 to 37–49
  3. +4 Q4 04:11 to Q4 03:21 54–88 to 58–88