6.75

2020-21 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 11 · Thu, 26 Nov 2020

Real Madrid at CSKA Moscow

73–74Final, away–home

Box score

CSKA Moscow

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Tornike Shengelia *2815700002+36-131-52-2
Nikola Milutinov *248900001+14-60-00-0
Daniel Hackett *232200024+81-40-20-0
Darrun Hilliard *205110011+71-50-03-3
Nikita Kurbanov *140100004+40-10-00-0
Will Clyburn3111920100+13-122-63-4
Mike James2828210021−511-195-101-1
Johannes Voigtmann145400030−12-31-20-0
Joel Bolomboy100200000−50-10-00-0
Ivan Ukhov90200002−80-20-10-0
Team2007439401815+128-669-269-10

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Gabriel Deck *3014310032−45-70-04-4
Trey Thompkins *2415620103−16-103-60-0
Alberto Abalde *235111004−32-41-30-0
Anthony Randolph *2313301111+14-133-72-3
Nicolas Laprovittola *180230001−40-50-30-0
Walter Tavares248102141204-50-00-0
Sergio Llull2213461003+64-133-62-4
Jeffery Taylor190210001−30-20-10-0
Carlos Alocen72120000+31-40-20-0
Jaycee Carroll73000010+41-30-11-1
Usman Garuba40000001−40-10-10-0
Team20073321846618−127-6710-309-12

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 00:22Three-point make, Real Madrid+39.4 pp for Real Madrid71–70
  2. Q4 00:02Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+39.4 pp for CSKA Moscow71–73
  3. Q4 00:01Two-point make, Real Madrid+19.0 pp for Real Madrid73–74
  4. Q4 05:25Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+17.1 pp for CSKA Moscow64–66
  5. Q4 05:51Three-point make, Real Madrid+15.3 pp for Real Madrid64–63

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartCSKA MoscowReal Madrid
Dominance+0.25−0.25
Control55%3%
Drama1.831.83
Comeback63%91%
Crunch1.501.50

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

CSKA Moscow

  1. +10 Q2 04:12 to Q2 01:24 36–25 to 36–35
  2. +6 Q1 09:46 to Q1 07:30 0–0 to 0–6
  3. +6 Q3 09:14 to Q3 07:23 40–35 to 40–41

Real Madrid

  1. +9 Q1 00:23 to Q2 07:52 17–17 to 26–17
  2. +6 Q1 05:33 to Q1 04:44 5–8 to 11–8
  3. +5 Q1 07:09 to Q1 06:25 0–6 to 5–6