6.75

2020-21 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 1 · Fri, 2 Oct 2020

Armani Olimpia Milan at FC Bayern Munich

81–79Final, away–home

Box score

FC Bayern Munich

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Nihad Dedovic *3814371021−45-132-72-3
Vladimir Lucic *3612501023+22-62-46-6
Wade Baldwin IV *311804303308-131-31-1
Leon Radosevic *206300012−23-50-10-0
Jajuan Johnson *146201025+33-50-00-0
Paul Zipser276700011−32-52-40-0
Jalen Reynolds2514111201305-110-04-4
Nick Weiler-Babb203211111−50-60-33-4
Zan Sisko110020002+10-40-00-0
TJ Bray40000001−20-10-00-0
Team225793315911322−228-697-2216-18

Armani Olimpia Milan

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Shavon Shields *379403043−23-83-60-0
Kyle Hines *331641012405-50-06-8
Malcolm Delaney *3217480022+55-113-64-5
Michael Roll *188020001+63-32-20-0
Zach Leday *156100131−23-50-10-0
Luigi Datome265301014+52-51-20-0
Sergio Rodriguez24935002004-91-30-0
Riccardo Moraschini194110002−51-30-22-2
Kaleb Tarczewski117300013+43-50-01-4
Jeff Brooks90500100−10-30-10-2
Andrea Cinciarini0010000000-00-00-0
Team225812917431520+229-5710-2313-21

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4OT1

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. OT1 00:07Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+44.2 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan81–79
  2. Q4 01:11Three-point make, FC Bayern Munich+37.8 pp for FC Bayern Munich68–70
  3. Q4 01:56Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+30.8 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan68–67
  4. Q4 00:55Two-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+28.1 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan70–70
  5. OT1 00:53Two-point make, FC Bayern Munich+23.1 pp for FC Bayern Munich78–77

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartFC Bayern MunichArmani Olimpia Milan
Dominance+0.01−0.01
Control13%13%
Drama2.892.89
Comeback86%79%
Crunch1.371.37

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

FC Bayern Munich

  1. +6 Q3 07:10 to Q3 06:01 39–34 to 39–40
  2. +6 Q3 04:42 to Q3 03:29 44–42 to 44–48
  3. +6 Q4 08:24 to Q4 06:37 60–57 to 60–63

Armani Olimpia Milan

  1. +7 Q3 00:00 to Q4 09:14 51–55 to 58–55
  2. +6 Q4 00:55 to OT1 03:17 68–70 to 74–70
  3. +5 Q2 06:27 to Q2 05:57 19–20 to 24–20