6.75

2020-21 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 4 · Tue, 8 Dec 2020

Zenit St Petersburg at Valencia Basket

85–72Final, away–home

Box score

Valencia Basket

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Nikola Kalinic *358840134−44-80-00-0
Derrick Williams *272100001−260-20-02-2
Bojan Dubljevic *2518430021−158-121-31-2
Klemen Prepelic *194200032−181-70-42-2
Guillem Vives *1610211023−154-62-30-0
Sam Van Rossom249422024+44-70-31-1
Martin Hermannsson226030013+32-50-12-2
Fernando San Emeterio197211002+43-61-30-0
Mike Tobey158601010+23-90-32-2
Team200722914511420−1329-624-2010-11

Zenit St Petersburg

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Kevin Pangos *30121121030+163-62-44-5
Austin Hollins *2920203101+248-124-70-0
KC Rivers *287821001+103-81-40-0
Will Thomas *2612411101+245-92-50-0
Arturas Gudaitis *198311014+14-50-00-0
Mateusz Ponitka2210141131+84-52-30-0
Alex Poythress2012500014+126-100-10-0
Andrey Zubkov154000013−112-60-20-0
Vitaly Fridzon50000001−90-20-10-0
Billy Baron40000001−60-20-20-0
Vladislav Trushkin30000001−40-00-00-0
Team20085242083918+1335-6511-294-5

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 02:25Two-point make, Valencia Basket+16.4 pp for Valencia Basket75–72
  2. Q4 07:46Three-point make, Zenit St Petersburg+14.9 pp for Zenit St Petersburg70–62
  3. Q4 04:15Three-point make, Zenit St Petersburg+14.8 pp for Zenit St Petersburg75–66
  4. Q4 05:18Two-point make, Valencia Basket+13.0 pp for Valencia Basket70–66
  5. Q4 05:01Two-point make, Zenit St Petersburg+13.0 pp for Zenit St Petersburg72–66

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartValencia BasketZenit St Petersburg
Dominance+0.10−0.10
Control63%20%
Drama1.891.89
Comeback100%80%
Crunch0.790.79

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Valencia Basket

  1. +6 Q2 04:29 to Q2 02:53 26–27 to 26–33
  2. +6 Q4 04:10 to Q4 02:25 75–66 to 75–72
  3. +5 Q3 02:45 to Q3 01:59 58–55 to 58–60

Zenit St Petersburg

  1. +10 Q4 02:09 to Q4 00:00 75–72 to 85–72
  2. +7 Q3 09:31 to Q3 08:07 33–39 to 40–39
  3. +7 Q3 01:42 to Q3 00:26 58–60 to 65–60