6.75

2020-21 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 28 · Fri, 5 Mar 2021

Armani Olimpia Milan at Zalgiris Kaunas

69–64Final, away–home

Box score

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Marius Grigonis *3317510123+16-123-62-2
Thomas Walkup *280441023−110-50-20-0
Nigel Hayes *267300013−113-81-30-0
Joffrey Lauvergne *2615932011−86-110-03-3
Rokas Jokubaitis *233330001−20-30-13-6
Augustine Rubit286310021+73-60-00-1
Lukas Lekavicius1811130013+54-71-22-3
Paulius Jankunas132310012−11-40-00-0
Karolis Lukosiunas33000011−41-21-20-0
Martinas Geben20001001−10-00-00-0
Team200643116411119−524-586-1610-15

Armani Olimpia Milan

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Shavon Shields *3223420001+88-143-64-6
Kyle Hines *3110720232+85-80-00-2
Kevin Punter *3014142012+46-92-30-0
Michael Roll *254130012+101-51-31-2
Jeremy Evans *102401024+31-20-00-0
Jeff Brooks20031000100-10-00-0
Sergio Rodriguez184110022−92-70-40-0
Luigi Datome1810501013+23-62-32-2
Kaleb Tarczewski72201013+11-10-00-0
Vladimir Micov60100011+20-10-00-2
Paul Biligha20100000−40-00-00-0
Team200693013521221+527-548-197-14

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 02:22Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+24.4 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas64–62
  2. Q4 03:14Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+20.8 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan62–57
  3. Q4 00:35Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+20.1 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas66–64
  4. Q4 00:50Two-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+20.1 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan66–62
  5. Q4 04:38Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+17.7 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas57–55

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartZalgiris KaunasArmani Olimpia Milan
Dominance−0.17+0.17
Control0%43%
Drama2.262.26
Comeback97%60%
Crunch1.821.82

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +8 Q2 02:40 to Q2 00:32 34–24 to 34–32
  2. +6 Q3 01:29 to Q4 09:13 50–41 to 50–47
  3. +6 Q4 05:09 to Q4 04:38 57–49 to 57–55

Armani Olimpia Milan

  1. +7 Q1 05:15 to Q1 03:47 10–10 to 17–10
  2. +6 Q1 01:01 to Q2 09:05 17–13 to 23–13
  3. +6 Q3 04:28 to Q3 03:24 43–39 to 49–39