6.75

2020-21 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 28 · Thu, 4 Mar 2021

Real Madrid at Zenit St Petersburg

75–71Final, away–home

Box score

Zenit St Petersburg

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Mateusz Ponitka *3010721023−33-50-14-4
Kevin Pangos *3014170013−15-124-60-0
Will Thomas *249610011+23-91-32-2
Austin Hollins *239211004−24-51-20-1
Alex Poythress *2111200003−35-90-11-1
Billy Baron221213001303-93-83-3
Tarik Black19430004402-40-00-0
Andrey Zubkov162100000−101-20-00-0
Vitaly Fridzon50100001−10-20-20-0
Denis Zakharov40001000−20-10-00-0
Dmitry Khvostov4000001300-00-00-0
Vladislav Trushkin2020000000-10-00-0
Team200712614301025−426-599-2310-11

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Gabriel Deck *2515310003+55-111-24-7
Usman Garuba *23221111401-10-00-0
Jeffery Taylor *226520113+63-40-10-0
Walter Tavares *2216910114+158-120-00-1
Carlos Alocen *228121013−34-100-30-0
Trey Thompkins254400000−51-31-21-2
Alberto Abalde163310011−21-41-20-0
Nicolas Laprovittola157000010+52-40-03-4
Fabien Causeur136310003+61-10-04-4
Jaycee Carroll126010011−22-40-12-2
Alex Tyus52200000−51-10-00-0
Team20075321023722+429-553-1114-20

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 02:49Three-point make, Zenit St Petersburg+25.7 pp for Zenit St Petersburg66–69
  2. Q4 01:06Two-point make, Real Madrid+22.0 pp for Real Madrid72–69
  3. Q4 01:45Two-point make, Real Madrid+20.5 pp for Real Madrid70–69
  4. Q4 02:27Two-point make, Real Madrid+17.4 pp for Real Madrid68–69
  5. Q4 03:13Two-point make, Real Madrid+16.3 pp for Real Madrid66–66

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartZenit St PetersburgReal Madrid
Dominance−0.16+0.16
Control18%53%
Drama2.352.35
Comeback95%73%
Crunch1.541.54

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Zenit St Petersburg

  1. +12 Q2 00:01 to Q3 08:14 38–26 to 38–38
  2. +7 Q2 08:05 to Q2 06:30 29–15 to 29–22
  3. +5 Q3 07:09 to Q3 05:46 41–38 to 41–43

Real Madrid

  1. +8 Q4 02:27 to Q4 00:27 66–69 to 74–69
  2. +7 Q1 08:25 to Q1 07:20 5–6 to 12–6
  3. +6 Q1 06:13 to Q1 04:37 12–8 to 18–8