6.75

2020-21 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 25 · Fri, 19 Feb 2021

Real Madrid at Valencia Basket

78–89Final, away–home

Box score

Valencia Basket

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Nikola Kalinic *2612342120+114-71-23-6
Sam Van Rossom *2516180022+77-92-40-0
Bojan Dubljevic *206521021+133-70-30-2
Derrick Williams *205401011+72-51-30-0
Vanja Marinkovic *1614100011+175-62-22-3
Klemen Prepelic221111003303-42-33-5
Louis Labeyrie20380100001-40-21-2
Mike Tobey2011500003−14-73-40-0
Martin Hermannsson189421043+33-61-22-3
Josep Puerto132100101−21-30-10-0
Team200893317621515+1133-5812-2611-21

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Walter Tavares *2911931122−65-70-01-2
Gabriel Deck *249112120−103-121-52-2
Jaycee Carroll *2320020003+58-134-70-0
Carlos Alocen *224230032−21-51-41-2
Usman Garuba *60100023−100-00-00-0
Alberto Abalde2213311004−95-103-70-0
Fabien Causeur219112023−24-80-31-2
Trey Thompkins192901002−101-30-20-0
Alex Tyus142510012−40-20-02-2
Nicolas Laprovittola135021021+12-61-50-0
Sergio Llull93021000−81-21-20-0
Team200783116921422−1130-6811-357-10

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q3 05:56Three-point make, Valencia Basket+8.1 pp for Valencia Basket45–60
  2. Q1 01:51Three-point make, Real Madrid+7.0 pp for Real Madrid16–21
  3. Q1 01:37Three-point make, Valencia Basket+7.0 pp for Valencia Basket16–24
  4. Q1 01:25Three-point make, Real Madrid+7.0 pp for Real Madrid19–24
  5. Q1 09:02Three-point make, Valencia Basket+6.8 pp for Valencia Basket0–6

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartValencia BasketReal Madrid
Dominance+0.59−0.59
Control83%0%
Drama1.131.13
Comeback48%100%
Crunch0.030.03

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Valencia Basket

  1. +7 Q3 03:43 to Q3 00:57 51–64 to 51–71
  2. +6 Q1 09:59 to Q1 09:02 0–0 to 0–6
  3. +6 Q2 01:56 to Q2 00:29 33–46 to 33–52

Real Madrid

  1. +8 Q3 07:12 to Q3 06:16 37–57 to 45–57
  2. +8 Q4 01:46 to Q4 00:59 67–86 to 75–86
  3. +7 Q4 08:27 to Q4 07:10 52–73 to 59–73