6.75

2020-21 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 20 · Fri, 15 Jan 2021

Zalgiris Kaunas at Zenit St Petersburg

65–77Final, away–home

Box score

Zenit St Petersburg

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Kevin Pangos *316370062+122-111-81-2
Mateusz Ponitka *2815620031+104-72-35-6
Arturas Gudaitis *2715800101+123-40-09-10
Will Thomas *272412043+60-20-12-2
Austin Hollins *216111001+43-70-40-0
KC Rivers204420013+82-40-20-0
Andrey Zubkov169331011+53-42-31-2
Billy Baron1411100013+43-63-52-2
Anton Pushkov106100104+12-20-02-2
Vitaly Fridzon53000001−21-11-10-0
Team200773116421620+1223-489-2722-26

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Marius Grigonis *2710221022−74-111-41-1
Nigel Hayes *253312002−61-61-40-0
Joffrey Lauvergne *2411220025−75-70-01-1
Thomas Walkup *2312224024−63-80-46-6
Arturas Milaknis *226100012−82-42-30-0
Rokas Jokubaitis218320000−33-80-12-4
Paulius Jankunas190401022−90-20-00-0
Lukas Lekavicius1711220012−84-71-22-2
Augustine Rubit154200003−82-60-00-0
Martinas Geben80400002+20-20-00-0
Team200652511801024−1224-615-1812-14

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 08:13Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+11.4 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas54–58
  2. Q3 00:41Three-point make, Zenit St Petersburg+10.2 pp for Zenit St Petersburg47–54
  3. Q2 02:04Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+8.4 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas30–29
  4. Q2 00:59Three-point make, Zenit St Petersburg+8.4 pp for Zenit St Petersburg32–34
  5. Q3 08:12Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+8.4 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas39–38

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartZenit St PetersburgZalgiris Kaunas
Dominance+0.38−0.38
Control63%0%
Drama1.581.58
Comeback46%100%
Crunch0.120.12

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Zenit St Petersburg

  1. +6 Q1 01:00 to Q1 00:30 12–11 to 12–17
  2. +6 Q4 05:02 to Q4 04:17 56–62 to 56–68
  3. +5 Q3 05:33 to Q3 04:45 41–42 to 41–47

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +5 Q2 08:26 to Q2 07:08 14–19 to 19–19
  2. +5 Q4 04:02 to Q4 02:58 56–68 to 61–68
  3. +4 Q3 00:00 to Q4 08:43 47–56 to 51–56