6.75

2020-21 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 18 · Fri, 8 Jan 2021

Armani Olimpia Milan at Real Madrid

80–76Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Walter Tavares *3014722301+27-80-00-0
Carlos Alocen *235351003+182-60-21-2
Fabien Causeur *173000001−101-41-20-0
Alberto Abalde *173241032−31-61-30-0
Usman Garuba *130410011+30-20-20-0
Gabriel Deck236001002+62-92-50-0
Jaycee Carroll2320311022+68-112-52-2
Trey Thompkins2313710001−154-102-63-3
Alex Tyus154511001+22-30-00-0
Nicolas Laprovittola118020042−154-60-10-0
Jeffery Taylor60000012−140-00-00-0
Team200763117731118−431-658-266-7

Armani Olimpia Milan

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Zach Leday *3112401010+24-122-42-2
Malcolm Delaney *2914350044+44-81-25-8
Riccardo Moraschini *2621021012+41-40-10-0
Kevin Punter *227231003+112-101-42-2
Kaleb Tarczewski *208400012+64-60-00-0
Kyle Hines204022011−22-60-00-1
Michael Roll155010000+32-20-01-1
Luigi Datome149500000−44-41-10-0
Sergio Rodriguez1417001032−86-83-42-2
Jeff Brooks92100000+21-20-10-0
Andrea Cinciarini00000000+20-00-00-0
Team200802913601114+430-628-1712-16

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 00:15Three-point make, Real Madrid+28.7 pp for Real Madrid77–74
  2. Q4 00:50Three-point make, Real Madrid+28.7 pp for Real Madrid74–71
  3. Q4 00:24Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+28.7 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan77–71
  4. Q4 00:13Two-point make, Real Madrid+22.9 pp for Real Madrid79–76
  5. Q4 06:05Three-point make, Real Madrid+14.7 pp for Real Madrid67–62

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridArmani Olimpia Milan
Dominance+0.16−0.16
Control58%30%
Drama2.432.43
Comeback95%87%
Crunch2.082.08

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +8 Q1 04:46 to Q1 03:36 8–4 to 8–12
  2. +8 Q4 08:10 to Q4 06:37 65–51 to 65–59
  3. +6 Q3 02:57 to Q3 01:29 58–41 to 58–47

Armani Olimpia Milan

  1. +10 Q3 05:50 to Q3 03:22 48–41 to 58–41
  2. +9 Q3 09:13 to Q3 07:01 39–39 to 48–39
  3. +8 Q2 08:38 to Q2 07:36 17–21 to 25–21