6.75

2020-21 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 15 · Fri, 18 Dec 2020

Real Madrid at Olympiacos Piraeus

86–82Final, away–home

Box score

Olympiacos Piraeus

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Shaquielle McKissic *3818513124−56-161-45-5
Kostas Sloukas *2911571034−133-102-73-4
Kostas Papanikolaou *273311104+21-61-60-0
Livio Jean-Charles *207400001+33-61-30-0
Octavius Ellis *187411012−42-50-03-4
Hassan Martin271860113308-120-02-2
Sasha Vezenkov257600001−72-31-22-3
Vassilis Spanoulis195251030+92-80-21-2
Aaron Harrison186110001−61-20-14-4
Charles Jenkins50000002+10-00-00-0
Team225823616831222−428-686-2520-24

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Walter Tavares *34131010534+135-60-03-4
Nicolas Laprovittola *3319262021+34-93-78-8
Alberto Abalde *264351042−62-40-00-0
Gabriel Deck *192300013−71-50-00-0
Anthony Randolph *14450000001-90-42-2
Trey Thompkins2715441011+126-63-30-0
Sergio Llull2210151023+83-83-51-2
Jaycee Carroll168100011+113-62-50-0
Fabien Causeur125122011−32-41-20-0
Rudy Fernandez93210011+11-71-60-0
Usman Garuba71301210−80-00-01-2
Jeffery Taylor52010002−40-00-02-2
Team225863525871719+428-6413-3217-20

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4OT1

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. OT1 00:31Three-point make, Real Madrid+42.4 pp for Real Madrid82–81
  2. OT1 01:43Three-point make, Real Madrid+30.7 pp for Real Madrid79–77
  3. OT1 00:45Two-point make, Olympiacos Piraeus+28.9 pp for Olympiacos Piraeus79–81
  4. OT1 01:27Two-point make, Olympiacos Piraeus+22.6 pp for Olympiacos Piraeus79–79
  5. OT1 02:00Two-point make, Olympiacos Piraeus+18.5 pp for Olympiacos Piraeus76–76

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartOlympiacos PiraeusReal Madrid
Dominance−0.24+0.24
Control7%57%
Drama3.953.95
Comeback97%72%
Crunch0.740.74

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Olympiacos Piraeus

  1. +9 Q3 04:29 to Q3 02:30 41–39 to 41–48
  2. +8 Q2 05:27 to Q2 03:46 19–19 to 19–27
  3. +6 Q3 07:29 to Q3 06:15 37–30 to 37–36

Real Madrid

  1. +9 Q2 02:51 to Q2 01:39 19–27 to 28–27
  2. +9 Q2 00:10 to Q3 07:42 28–30 to 37–30
  3. +9 Q3 00:43 to Q4 09:45 43–51 to 52–51