6.75

2020-21 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 13 · Thu, 10 Dec 2020

Zenit St Petersburg at Real Madrid

72–79Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Alberto Abalde *3016322003+26-113-41-1
Jeffery Taylor *269010003+172-21-14-5
Gabriel Deck *242314012+131-20-10-0
Trey Thompkins *1910121040−84-71-11-1
Anthony Randolph *1712310102+54-72-42-2
Walter Tavares25111313324+123-90-05-5
Sergio Llull236021011−81-70-34-5
Nicolas Laprovittola1611040023+153-42-33-4
Rudy Fernandez80110020−10-40-30-0
Usman Garuba72400101−21-20-10-0
Fabien Causeur40000002−100-00-00-0
Team2007928151151221+725-559-2120-23

Zenit St Petersburg

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
KC Rivers *2912300011−24-83-61-1
Will Thomas *265402012−192-31-10-0
Kevin Pangos *2212341051−184-80-24-4
Mateusz Ponitka *216550031−12-31-11-1
Alex Poythress *176501035−33-40-00-0
Austin Hollins2515231013+115-92-53-3
Andrey Zubkov203310015+141-40-21-2
Billy Baron188220011−42-71-53-3
Arturas Gudaitis142200000−101-50-00-1
Denis Zakharov42100011−20-00-02-3
Anton Pushkov21100002−20-20-01-2
Vitaly Fridzon20000010+10-00-00-0
Team200723115501822−724-538-2216-20

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q1 03:35Three-point make, Zenit St Petersburg+5.2 pp for Zenit St Petersburg10–13
  2. Q2 09:24Three-point make, Real Madrid+5.2 pp for Real Madrid21–27
  3. Q1 02:44Three-point make, Real Madrid+5.0 pp for Real Madrid14–16
  4. Q1 06:43Three-point make, Zenit St Petersburg+4.7 pp for Zenit St Petersburg5–6
  5. Q1 04:14Three-point make, Real Madrid+4.7 pp for Real Madrid7–11

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridZenit St Petersburg
Dominance+0.83−0.83
Control100%0%
Drama0.690.69
Comeback22%100%
Crunch0.030.03

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +12 Q3 06:57 to Q3 02:45 34–44 to 34–56
  2. +8 Q3 09:16 to Q3 07:47 31–36 to 31–44
  3. +7 Q1 04:57 to Q1 03:55 7–6 to 7–13

Zenit St Petersburg

  1. +9 Q4 09:17 to Q4 07:41 42–62 to 51–62
  2. +7 Q1 03:35 to Q1 02:57 7–13 to 14–13
  3. +5 Q1 06:43 to Q1 05:57 2–6 to 7–6