6.75

2019-20 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 11 · Thu, 28 Nov 2019

Valencia Basket at Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

73–76Final, away–home

Box score

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Billy Baron *278320024−42-42-42-2
Branko Lazic *2614301013+166-112-40-0
Lorenzo Brown *2619360033+136-112-45-5
Borisa Simanic *134010102+222-30-10-0
Ognjen Kuzmic *80202211+10-10-00-0
James Gist216211013+112-60-02-4
Mouhammad Faye204820123−212-50-20-0
Michael Ojo179000023−72-20-05-5
Charles Jenkins169322013+23-50-23-3
Ognjen Dobric143022020−131-41-20-0
Filip Covic80010000−60-00-00-0
Dejan Davidovac30100010+10-10-00-0
Team200762517841625+326-537-1917-19

Valencia Basket

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Bojan Dubljevic *3022831022+46-114-76-6
Louis Labeyrie *284502001+20-20-04-4
Guillem Vives *274234041+31-60-32-2
Fernando San Emeterio *140000011−60-10-10-0
Vanja Marinkovic *1411010041−64-81-32-4
Alberto Abalde2610411003+32-51-25-6
Jordan Loyd156021014−33-40-10-0
Quino Colom130331030−60-30-00-0
Maurice Ndour129111002−53-60-03-4
Aaron Doornekamp113300001+61-30-21-2
Mike Tobey104201003−72-40-10-0
Team2007328141201519−322-536-2023-28

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 00:02Three-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+35.4 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade73–76
  2. Q4 01:03Two-point make, Valencia Basket+25.7 pp for Valencia Basket73–73
  3. Q4 05:15Three-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+18.5 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade68–67
  4. Q4 06:34Three-point make, Valencia Basket+15.9 pp for Valencia Basket65–63
  5. Q4 07:20Three-point make, Valencia Basket+15.7 pp for Valencia Basket62–63

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet BelgradeValencia Basket
Dominance+0.22−0.22
Control48%8%
Drama2.752.75
Comeback69%91%
Crunch1.431.43

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

  1. +10 Q3 04:49 to Q3 03:21 47–48 to 47–58
  2. +7 Q3 07:58 to Q3 06:14 43–41 to 43–48
  3. +6 Q2 00:03 to Q3 09:10 41–35 to 41–41

Valencia Basket

  1. +10 Q3 01:50 to Q4 08:26 49–60 to 59–60
  2. +6 Q4 07:20 to Q4 06:34 59–63 to 65–63
  3. +5 Q2 02:36 to Q2 02:04 29–30 to 34–30