6.75

2019-20 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 5 · Wed, 30 Oct 2019

Real Madrid at FC Bayern Munich

86–95Final, away–home

Box score

FC Bayern Munich

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Vladimir Lucic *328601032+13-60-22-2
Maodo Lo *3010271022−14-112-50-0
Greg Monroe *2618441122−89-130-00-0
Danilo Barthel *2517500001−45-71-26-7
Nihad Dedovic *120520011−60-50-20-0
Paul Zipser179410015+174-51-10-0
Petteri Koponen1615041005+125-82-33-4
Alex King150210003+150-00-00-2
Demarcus Nelson148130023+63-40-02-2
Leon Radosevic1310510011+135-70-00-0
Team200953423411225+938-666-1513-17

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Anthony Randolph *25171000012−47-103-40-2
Fabien Causeur *21901001104-111-50-2
Sergio Llull *198150003−101-81-65-5
Jeffery Taylor *160100001−50-10-10-0
Walter Tavares *122410213−21-20-00-0
Facundo Campazzo2416062053−34-72-56-6
Jordan Mickey2210601122−44-60-02-4
Gabriel Deck203431024−31-20-11-1
Usman Garuba1612403101−55-60-02-5
Rudy Fernandez136020010−82-72-60-0
Jaycee Carroll113020002−11-61-50-0
Team200863020741322−930-6610-3316-25

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 02:45Two-point make, FC Bayern Munich+15.5 pp for FC Bayern Munich78–83
  2. Q4 03:04Two-point make, Real Madrid+15.2 pp for Real Madrid78–81
  3. Q4 05:27Three-point make, Real Madrid+14.0 pp for Real Madrid72–77
  4. Q4 03:34Two-point make, Real Madrid+11.1 pp for Real Madrid76–81
  5. Q4 08:27Three-point make, Real Madrid+10.5 pp for Real Madrid60–67

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartFC Bayern MunichReal Madrid
Dominance+0.23−0.23
Control48%5%
Drama2.142.14
Comeback63%100%
Crunch0.970.97

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

FC Bayern Munich

  1. +11 Q1 00:52 to Q2 07:51 20–17 to 20–28
  2. +10 Q2 00:31 to Q3 08:38 38–37 to 38–47
  3. +5 Q2 07:05 to Q2 06:40 23–28 to 23–33

Real Madrid

  1. +7 Q2 06:26 to Q2 05:28 23–33 to 30–33
  2. +7 Q4 06:18 to Q4 05:27 65–77 to 72–77
  3. +5 Q2 04:17 to Q2 02:55 30–35 to 35–35