6.75

2019-20 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 28 · Thu, 5 Mar 2020

Armani Olimpia Milan at Valencia Basket

83–81Final, away–home

Box score

Valencia Basket

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Alberto Abalde *3021611012−38-151-34-5
Joan Sastre *243211012−31-61-20-0
Maurice Ndour *2312600005+76-70-00-0
Mike Tobey *207400023−52-41-22-2
Guillem Vives *190300032−90-50-30-0
Quino Colom268373040+73-92-60-2
Bojan Dubljevic2419450012+54-72-49-9
Louis Labeyrie200600101−140-30-00-0
Fernando San Emeterio209210002+63-72-51-1
Vanja Marinkovic152000011−61-60-10-0
Aaron Doornekamp50101000+50-00-00-0
Team225813715611320−228-699-2616-19

Armani Olimpia Milan

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Vladimir Micov *3313711024−25-92-61-2
Kaleb Tarczewski *308411223−63-70-02-4
Michael Roll *2711310022−74-73-50-0
Riccardo Moraschini *246312020+23-70-40-0
Keifer Sykes *165110002−82-61-40-0
Sergio Rodriguez2816290001+126-152-72-2
Drew Crawford257302003+93-61-20-0
Luis Scola1811500001+74-60-03-6
Arturas Gudaitis156300125+82-20-02-4
Amedeo Della Valle5000100100-30-00-0
Jeff Brooks40100002−40-00-00-0
Team225833214731024+232-689-2810-18

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4OT1

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. OT1 00:00Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+43.6 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan83–81
  2. Q4 00:02Two-point make, Valencia Basket+29.2 pp for Valencia Basket65–65
  3. Q4 00:07Two-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+29.2 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan65–63
  4. Q4 01:00Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+28.7 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan63–58
  5. OT1 02:20Three-point make, Valencia Basket+24.2 pp for Valencia Basket69–72

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartValencia BasketArmani Olimpia Milan
Dominance+0.15−0.15
Control50%7%
Drama3.933.93
Comeback95%94%
Crunch1.881.88

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Valencia Basket

  1. +8 Q1 06:31 to Q1 04:00 9–2 to 9–10
  2. +7 Q4 06:20 to Q4 04:59 56–51 to 56–58
  3. +6 Q2 07:22 to Q2 05:38 24–15 to 24–21

Armani Olimpia Milan

  1. +10 Q1 02:55 to Q2 08:36 11–12 to 21–12
  2. +7 Q4 04:43 to Q4 01:00 56–58 to 63–58
  3. +6 Q4 09:36 to Q4 07:54 48–48 to 54–48