6.75

2019-20 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 28 · Thu, 5 Mar 2020

LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne at Real Madrid

78–87Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Walter Tavares *289800311−24-50-01-4
Jaycee Carroll *2619200031+65-103-76-6
Usman Garuba *2210621013+113-61-23-5
Facundo Campazzo *192070043−61-40-30-0
Mario Nakic *82001010−41-10-00-2
Fabien Causeur261533001205-63-32-4
Nicolas Laprovittola229350023+153-41-22-2
Trey Thompkins208400022−22-41-23-3
Rudy Fernandez189223013+162-71-44-5
Felipe Reyes124510103+112-40-00-0
Team200873320541621+928-5110-2321-31

LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Guerschon Yabusele *269004121+53-63-40-0
Livio Jean-Charles *2413210114−106-91-10-0
Charles Kahudi *238401022−153-91-41-2
Matthew Strazel *2111151015+64-60-23-3
Davion Berry *133000014−11-31-30-0
David Lighty256140013+33-70-30-0
Theo Maledon2412210024−95-110-32-2
Tonye Jekiri23101120102−123-70-04-6
Rihards Lomazs104000002−111-20-12-2
Antoine Diot80111011−10-30-20-0
Amine Noua4200000001-30-10-0
Team200782214731128−930-666-2412-15

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q3 04:35Three-point make, LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne+6.7 pp for LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne53–51
  2. Q3 01:12Three-point make, Real Madrid+6.7 pp for Real Madrid61–62
  3. Q3 03:23Two-point make, LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne+6.4 pp for LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne59–51
  4. Q3 02:20Two-point make, Real Madrid+5.8 pp for Real Madrid59–55
  5. Q3 02:49Two-point make, Real Madrid+5.3 pp for Real Madrid59–53

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridLDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne
Dominance+0.78−0.78
Control100%0%
Drama1.411.41
Comeback32%100%
Crunch0.040.04

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +9 Q2 06:12 to Q2 04:00 27–22 to 27–31
  2. +8 Q2 08:49 to Q2 07:00 25–14 to 25–22
  3. +8 Q3 06:20 to Q3 05:17 48–43 to 48–51

LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne

  1. +12 Q1 08:06 to Q1 05:36 3–7 to 15–7
  2. +11 Q3 05:03 to Q3 03:23 48–51 to 59–51
  3. +7 Q1 00:35 to Q2 09:06 18–14 to 25–14