6.75

2019-20 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 28 · Thu, 5 Mar 2020

Zalgiris Kaunas at Zenit St Petersburg

75–76Final, away–home

Box score

Zenit St Petersburg

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Austin Hollins *356222003+143-120-70-0
Andrew Albicy *3119541012+36-125-72-4
Will Thomas *297220113−42-41-12-2
Mateusz Ponitka *238410122−23-60-02-3
Gustavo Ayon *231052102304-90-02-2
Tim Abromaitis212100002−11-20-10-0
Colton Iverson2014301022+15-80-04-7
Andrey Zubkov173410011+51-21-20-0
Alex Renfroe177431021−33-70-11-3
Evgeny Voronov50000001−40-00-00-0
Anton Ponkrashov50000000−40-00-00-0
Team225763015621120+128-627-1913-21

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Edgaras Ulanovas *344730020−31-60-22-2
Thomas Walkup *346211104302-70-12-2
Jock Landale *2527600114+910-112-25-6
Paulius Jankunas *242900112−131-30-10-0
Arturas Milaknis *163002002−11-41-40-0
KC Rivers2914410004+25-114-70-0
Lukas Lekavicius242031024+41-70-20-0
Zach Leday1411100122−63-51-24-4
Nigel Hayes142020003+61-20-10-0
Martinas Geben62100000−41-10-00-0
Rokas Jokubaitis62110001+11-20-10-0
Team225753121431225−127-598-2313-14

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4OT1

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. OT1 01:07Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+28.7 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas75–74
  2. Q4 01:17Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+23.4 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas64–66
  3. OT1 01:23Two-point make, Zenit St Petersburg+22.6 pp for Zenit St Petersburg73–73
  4. Q4 05:23Three-point make, Zenit St Petersburg+18.7 pp for Zenit St Petersburg53–57
  5. Q4 04:41Three-point make, Zenit St Petersburg+17.8 pp for Zenit St Petersburg53–60

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartZenit St PetersburgZalgiris Kaunas
Dominance−0.40+0.40
Control11%78%
Drama2.982.98
Comeback91%84%
Crunch1.651.65

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Zenit St Petersburg

  1. +16 Q3 00:27 to Q4 04:41 53–44 to 53–60
  2. +14 Q2 03:31 to Q3 06:33 41–26 to 41–40
  3. +5 Q1 08:24 to Q1 07:38 3–0 to 3–5

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +14 Q1 06:55 to Q1 03:04 3–5 to 17–5
  2. +11 Q4 02:07 to OT1 03:22 60–66 to 71–66
  3. +8 Q1 02:03 to Q1 00:58 17–10 to 25–10