6.75

2019-20 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 3 · Thu, 17 Oct 2019

Armani Olimpia Milan at Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

79–78Final, away–home

Box score

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Nick Calathes *3623541042+310-163-60-0
Ioannis Papapetrou *32440111302-70-40-1
Deshaun Thomas *264500001−112-80-10-0
Jimmer Fredette *189110001−63-70-33-3
Georgios Papagiannis *54200000−52-20-00-0
Jacob Wiley2417710201+68-90-01-1
Tyrese Rice192140022−11-60-10-0
Konstantinos Mitoglou1881001101+23-80-12-2
Wesley Johnson164200004+12-60-30-0
Benjamin Bentil83210000+60-30-13-4
Team20078391134715−133-723-209-11

Armani Olimpia Milan

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Jeff Brooks *306410000+52-42-20-0
Sergio Rodriguez *2510151012−14-142-50-0
Vladimir Micov *2518411013+87-133-61-1
Luis Scola *2417910032+46-112-33-4
Aaron White *142100013−21-10-00-0
Michael Roll2516220001+16-94-70-0
Riccardo Moraschini254340013−81-50-22-2
Kaleb Tarczewski133700100−51-30-01-4
Paul Biligha120400003+40-30-00-0
Amedeo Della Valle33000000+11-21-10-0
Andrea Cinciarini20010010−30-10-00-0
Christian Burns20100000+10-10-00-0
Team20079361521817+129-6714-267-11

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 00:32Two-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+28.1 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens77–78
  2. Q4 01:49Two-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+20.0 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan77–76
  3. Q4 02:44Three-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+17.9 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens72–76
  4. Q4 04:31Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+17.9 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan70–68
  5. Q4 04:12Three-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+17.9 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens70–71

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartPanathinaikos AKTOR AthensArmani Olimpia Milan
Dominance+0.36−0.36
Control88%0%
Drama2.152.15
Comeback49%93%
Crunch1.741.74

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

  1. +11 Q4 09:22 to Q4 06:10 61–57 to 61–68
  2. +8 Q1 04:30 to Q1 02:31 15–10 to 15–18
  3. +6 Q1 09:19 to Q1 08:28 2–0 to 2–6

Armani Olimpia Milan

  1. +9 Q4 05:35 to Q4 04:31 61–68 to 70–68
  2. +8 Q1 08:09 to Q1 06:17 2–6 to 10–6
  3. +6 Q1 02:06 to Q1 00:41 15–18 to 21–18