6.75

2019-20 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 27 · Tue, 3 Mar 2020

Real Madrid at Armani Olimpia Milan

78–73Final, away–home

Box score

Armani Olimpia Milan

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Riccardo Moraschini *3521624052−75-104-67-8
Keifer Sykes *3310011003+74-82-50-0
Vladimir Micov *3113632101+85-131-42-2
Kaleb Tarczewski *212401003−101-20-00-0
Michael Roll *155210102+12-61-30-0
Arturas Gudaitis199510232+54-70-01-3
Nemanja Nedovic133100020−70-20-13-3
Sergio Rodriguez115100011−132-41-20-0
Luis Scola100101112−210-30-10-0
Amedeo Della Valle105100000+101-31-22-2
Drew Crawford30000012+20-00-00-0
Team20073278951318−524-5810-2415-18

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Walter Tavares *29131220401−46-70-01-2
Trey Thompkins *2913612014+25-103-50-1
Jaycee Carroll *212111003−91-100-40-0
Usman Garuba *194612012−72-50-10-0
Facundo Campazzo *158310033−192-70-34-6
Jeffery Taylor295410111+142-51-40-0
Nicolas Laprovittola2513361062+266-131-40-0
Rudy Fernandez2116042011+184-104-94-4
Felipe Reyes74310002+102-40-00-0
Salah Mejri30000001−60-00-00-0
Team200783818851320+530-719-309-13

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 08:37Three-point make, Real Madrid+13.4 pp for Real Madrid51–55
  2. Q4 08:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+13.1 pp for Real Madrid54–55
  3. Q2 06:36Three-point make, Real Madrid+10.2 pp for Real Madrid23–30
  4. Q4 07:23Two-point make, Real Madrid+9.3 pp for Real Madrid56–55
  5. Q4 03:55Three-point make, Real Madrid+9.1 pp for Real Madrid69–63

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartArmani Olimpia MilanReal Madrid
Dominance−0.17+0.17
Control23%43%
Drama2.382.38
Comeback100%66%
Crunch0.650.65

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Armani Olimpia Milan

  1. +7 Q2 03:03 to Q2 01:11 33–36 to 33–43
  2. +6 Q1 01:48 to Q1 00:40 9–17 to 9–23
  3. +6 Q2 00:31 to Q3 08:18 35–43 to 35–49

Real Madrid

  1. +17 Q2 08:44 to Q2 04:27 13–30 to 30–30
  2. +16 Q3 00:15 to Q4 06:28 45–55 to 61–55
  3. +4 Q3 07:24 to Q3 06:54 35–49 to 39–49