6.75

2019-20 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 19 · Tue, 14 Jan 2020

Real Madrid at CSKA Moscow

55–60Final, away–home

Box score

CSKA Moscow

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Mike James *3019212174+126-182-95-5
Nikita Kurbanov *2441001012+110-10-14-4
Darrun Hilliard *2414110044+24-112-54-4
Johannes Voigtmann *233101113+111-11-10-0
Kyle Hines *2310611102+74-80-12-2
Howard Sant-Roos224212003+32-50-10-0
Kosta Koufos144601001+32-70-00-0
Joel Bolomboy122610010−41-30-20-0
Ron Baker80210011−30-20-00-0
Andrey Vorontsevich80100001−70-10-00-0
Semen Antonov70000001−80-10-00-0
Ivan Ukhov50200011−20-10-00-0
Team20060396831623+520-595-2015-15

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Walter Tavares *282901412−140-40-02-2
Trey Thompkins *2714610112−46-131-51-1
Facundo Campazzo *2611550023−13-103-102-4
Gabriel Deck *184001011−81-20-12-2
Fabien Causeur *153410022−31-61-40-0
Jeffery Taylor253411020+41-21-10-0
Sergio Llull150210012+20-40-30-0
Jordan Mickey155301122+42-51-20-0
Nicolas Laprovittola158020033−43-71-31-1
Felipe Reyes93001002+31-31-10-0
Jaycee Carroll72200012−41-50-20-0
Team200553511561621−519-619-328-10

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 00:37Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+26.8 pp for CSKA Moscow54–58
  2. Q4 01:21Two-point make, Real Madrid+20.6 pp for Real Madrid54–55
  3. Q4 05:46Three-point make, Real Madrid+16.3 pp for Real Madrid50–49
  4. Q4 03:32Two-point make, CSKA Moscow+13.5 pp for CSKA Moscow52–55
  5. Q4 03:54Two-point make, Real Madrid+12.9 pp for Real Madrid52–53

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartCSKA MoscowReal Madrid
Dominance+0.01−0.01
Control18%25%
Drama2.062.06
Comeback69%98%
Crunch0.900.90

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

CSKA Moscow

  1. +14 Q2 02:05 to Q3 04:34 33–22 to 33–36
  2. +5 Q4 00:37 to Q4 00:18 54–55 to 54–60
  3. +4 Q2 07:24 to Q2 05:36 26–14 to 26–18

Real Madrid

  1. +8 Q1 01:11 to Q2 07:48 18–14 to 26–14
  2. +5 Q1 09:02 to Q1 08:19 0–0 to 5–0
  3. +5 Q3 04:23 to Q3 03:33 33–36 to 38–36