6.75

2019-20 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 16 · Fri, 27 Dec 2019

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade at Zenit St Petersburg

65–58Final, away–home

Box score

Zenit St Petersburg

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Will Thomas *3111302011−123-91-54-5
Mateusz Ponitka *254510122−81-50-22-2
Colton Iverson *236630101−72-50-02-2
Andrew Albicy *213130020−51-71-50-0
Evgeny Voronov *186000013−122-82-50-0
Austin Hollins2214111004+34-93-83-3
Gustavo Ayon196611331+32-50-02-2
Anton Ponkrashov158001000+13-62-40-2
Alex Renfroe15014200000-30-00-0
Anton Pushkov70001101+50-10-10-0
Dmitry Khvostov50000014−30-00-00-0
Team200582313861017−718-589-3013-16

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Lorenzo Brown *2818960023+159-160-00-0
Billy Baron *2726311010+169-105-63-4
Branko Lazic *255401012+132-51-20-0
Borisa Simanic *120120104+40-10-00-0
Ognjen Kuzmic *90200022+10-00-00-0
Vladimir Stimac226810022−53-80-00-0
James Gist217521133+153-60-11-1
Marko Jagodic-Kuridza150300101−10-40-10-0
Dejan Davidovac150300032−70-30-20-0
Charles Jenkins130110014−80-20-00-0
Filip Covic133211020−81-31-20-0
Team200654114431723+727-587-144-5

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 03:00Three-point make, Zenit St Petersburg+21.8 pp for Zenit St Petersburg55–54
  2. Q4 01:47Three-point make, Zenit St Petersburg+18.2 pp for Zenit St Petersburg60–57
  3. Q4 02:37Two-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+18.0 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade57–54
  4. Q4 03:14Two-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+13.5 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade55–51
  5. Q4 01:24Two-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+13.3 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade62–57

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartZenit St PetersburgCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade
Dominance+0.07−0.07
Control38%15%
Drama2.152.15
Comeback100%78%
Crunch1.311.31

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Zenit St Petersburg

  1. +13 Q2 09:43 to Q2 06:08 20–16 to 20–29
  2. +6 Q2 03:29 to Q2 02:42 26–29 to 26–35
  3. +3 Q1 09:20 to Q1 09:20 0–0 to 0–3

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

  1. +6 Q1 08:58 to Q1 07:29 0–3 to 6–3
  2. +6 Q2 05:51 to Q2 04:00 20–29 to 26–29
  3. +6 Q3 06:47 to Q3 04:12 37–42 to 43–42