6.75

2019-20 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 16 · Thu, 26 Dec 2019

Armani Olimpia Milan at CSKA Moscow

75–78Final, away–home

Box score

CSKA Moscow

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Mike James *36176111031+144-141-68-9
Daniel Hackett *3328144023+1110-186-92-2
Johannes Voigtmann *3214801113+185-113-81-3
Kyle Hines *283621113+161-50-01-1
Nikita Kurbanov *202500122+110-30-32-2
Darrun Hilliard178400011−13-50-02-3
Janis Strelnieks112000001−150-00-02-2
Joel Bolomboy94200000−132-30-00-0
Andrey Vorontsevich60000001−100-20-20-0
Kosta Koufos50500002−50-10-00-0
Semen Antonov20100001−60-10-00-0
Ron Baker10000010−50-00-00-0
Team200783817731118+325-6310-2818-22

Armani Olimpia Milan

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Sergio Rodriguez *2813221024−25-113-50-0
Vladimir Micov *27533200202-70-21-3
Kaleb Tarczewski *24111031322−95-90-01-1
Luis Scola *137111024−12-70-33-4
Jeff Brooks *120010123−110-00-00-0
Michael Roll2410520001−105-80-30-0
Arturas Gudaitis2113320102+124-71-14-5
Nemanja Nedovic177000020+43-81-40-0
Aaron White16052100100-20-20-0
Riccardo Moraschini156101001−12-30-02-3
Amedeo Della Valle53000001+31-21-10-0
Team200753016751021−329-646-2111-16

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 09:13Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+11.7 pp for CSKA Moscow63–62
  2. Q4 09:33Two-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+9.5 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan63–59
  3. Q4 08:15Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+9.4 pp for CSKA Moscow65–67
  4. Q2 00:53Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+8.6 pp for CSKA Moscow37–32
  5. Q3 07:41Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+8.1 pp for CSKA Moscow41–43

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartCSKA MoscowArmani Olimpia Milan
Dominance+0.71−0.71
Control100%0%
Drama1.451.45
Comeback36%99%
Crunch0.080.08

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

CSKA Moscow

  1. +13 Q3 09:24 to Q3 07:12 41–32 to 41–45
  2. +12 Q4 08:42 to Q4 06:05 65–62 to 65–74
  3. +5 Q1 09:14 to Q1 08:33 2–0 to 2–5

Armani Olimpia Milan

  1. +12 Q2 06:57 to Q2 03:34 21–26 to 33–26
  2. +9 Q3 01:27 to Q4 09:33 54–59 to 63–59
  3. +5 Q3 06:51 to Q3 06:25 41–45 to 46–45