6.75

2019-20 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 15 · Thu, 19 Dec 2019

Valencia Basket at Armani Olimpia Milan

71–78Final, away–home

Box score

Armani Olimpia Milan

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Sergio Rodriguez *2810581002−35-120-50-0
Kaleb Tarczewski *25131000102+55-70-03-5
Luis Scola *257411013+122-61-12-2
Vladimir Micov *2413320022+15-121-42-2
Michael Roll *225110011−22-41-20-0
Amedeo Della Valle1915311011+75-71-24-4
Shelvin Mack162222012+91-30-10-0
Arturas Gudaitis159520004+23-60-03-4
Riccardo Moraschini144200011+72-50-30-0
Aaron White140110004−30-20-00-0
Team20078361851722+730-644-1814-17

Valencia Basket

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Maurice Ndour *216503012+12-40-12-2
Quino Colom *219160020−14-100-31-2
Vanja Marinkovic *203200002+51-50-41-2
Aaron Doornekamp *202210002−21-30-20-1
Bojan Dubljevic *1720600031−16-104-44-4
Louis Labeyrie227521112−112-61-42-2
Sam Van Rossom229350002−83-41-22-2
Mike Tobey2011601004−34-80-13-4
Jordan Loyd204301023−161-90-52-2
Alberto Abalde170110012−10-50-20-0
Millan Jimenez00000000+20-00-00-0
Team200713415611020−724-646-2817-21

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 05:40Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+13.9 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan63–69
  2. Q4 06:05Three-point make, Valencia Basket+11.4 pp for Valencia Basket63–66
  3. Q1 05:28Three-point make, Valencia Basket+7.0 pp for Valencia Basket11–9
  4. Q2 00:32Two-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+7.0 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan43–41
  5. Q1 03:43Three-point make, Valencia Basket+7.0 pp for Valencia Basket16–14

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartArmani Olimpia MilanValencia Basket
Dominance+0.47−0.47
Control78%0%
Drama1.591.59
Comeback50%100%
Crunch0.180.18

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Armani Olimpia Milan

  1. +14 Q2 00:32 to Q3 05:57 43–39 to 43–53
  2. +7 Q1 06:46 to Q1 05:42 8–2 to 8–9
  3. +6 Q2 08:34 to Q2 07:24 26–26 to 26–32

Valencia Basket

  1. +9 Q2 02:44 to Q2 00:45 34–39 to 43–39
  2. +9 Q4 07:40 to Q4 06:05 54–66 to 63–66
  3. +5 Q1 08:16 to Q1 07:30 3–2 to 8–2