6.75

2019-20 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 14 · Tue, 17 Dec 2019

Armani Olimpia Milan at Real Madrid

67–76Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Anthony Randolph *3216721002+145-125-111-2
Facundo Campazzo *2872123001+122-70-43-3
Gabriel Deck *2413300011+175-100-03-4
Walter Tavares *167700213+82-20-03-4
Fabien Causeur *70000000−40-00-00-0
Rudy Fernandez234220002−21-61-41-1
Jeffery Taylor223111013+131-41-30-0
Jordan Mickey2015600212−17-130-21-1
Nicolas Laprovittola127040012−33-41-10-0
Trey Thompkins90100011−50-10-10-0
Jaycee Carroll60000001−80-30-10-0
Salah Mejri44200000+42-30-10-0
Team20076312154618+928-658-2812-15

Armani Olimpia Milan

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Vladimir Micov *292220000209-144-50-0
Jeff Brooks *262920003−21-40-00-0
Luis Scola *1411300024−75-81-30-0
Christian Burns *140010012+40-30-10-0
Andrea Cinciarini *80000012+30-10-00-0
Michael Roll214310034−62-80-30-0
Kaleb Tarczewski20880001003-70-02-4
Sergio Rodriguez206320033−63-60-20-0
Shelvin Mack195410012−92-40-01-2
Arturas Gudaitis189600111−122-60-05-6
Riccardo Moraschini110300010−100-20-00-0
Team20067417011423−927-635-148-12

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q3 04:26Three-point make, Real Madrid+9.9 pp for Real Madrid48–46
  2. Q3 05:01Three-point make, Real Madrid+9.5 pp for Real Madrid46–43
  3. Q3 08:25Three-point make, Real Madrid+7.5 pp for Real Madrid41–33
  4. Q2 06:05Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+7.5 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan31–24
  5. Q3 00:49Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+6.5 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan52–53

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridArmani Olimpia Milan
Dominance+0.56−0.56
Control83%0%
Drama1.191.19
Comeback45%100%
Crunch0.100.10

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +7 Q3 07:05 to Q3 05:36 44–33 to 44–40
  2. +6 Q3 04:26 to Q3 03:11 48–43 to 48–49
  3. +5 Q3 00:29 to Q4 09:07 52–53 to 52–58

Armani Olimpia Milan

  1. +10 Q2 06:19 to Q2 04:01 27–24 to 37–24
  2. +5 Q1 05:22 to Q1 03:17 8–7 to 13–7
  3. +5 Q4 07:02 to Q4 05:41 54–63 to 59–63