6.75

2018-19 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 12 · Fri, 14 Dec 2018

Zalgiris Kaunas at FC Bayern Munich

84–88Final, away–home

Box score

FC Bayern Munich

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Vladimir Lucic *301111100304-92-41-2
Nihad Dedovic *2311231012−64-90-33-3
Stefan Jovic *2211132003−83-72-43-3
Danilo Barthel *216420042−13-60-10-0
Marvin Ogunsipe *102101001−21-30-00-0
Derrick Williams3227732011+310-153-54-4
Maodo Lo188331012+123-51-31-1
Petteri Koponen185240004+142-51-40-0
Leon Radosevic175310021+82-40-01-2
Nemanja Dangubic9210000301-10-00-0
Team20088252080922+433-649-2413-15

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Brandon Davies *3021630221−47-80-07-9
Edgaras Ulanovas *275211011+61-40-23-3
Leo Westermann *2419362034+67-95-70-0
Thomas Walkup *160220012−110-10-00-0
Paulius Jankunas *122100101−30-20-12-2
Aaron White2612100014+44-60-14-4
Marius Grigonis259300015+92-71-34-4
Arturas Milaknis1910110002−133-62-42-2
Derrick Walton Jr166240020−112-50-32-2
Laurynas Birutis60100111−30-00-00-0
Team200842217341221−426-488-2124-26

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 02:17Three-point make, FC Bayern Munich+20.7 pp for FC Bayern Munich74–79
  2. Q4 00:32Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+20.5 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas81–83
  3. Q4 04:01Three-point make, FC Bayern Munich+18.4 pp for FC Bayern Munich70–76
  4. Q4 00:17Two-point make, FC Bayern Munich+17.1 pp for FC Bayern Munich81–85
  5. Q4 00:11Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+17.1 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas83–85

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartFC Bayern MunichZalgiris Kaunas
Dominance+0.28−0.28
Control53%0%
Drama2.182.18
Comeback59%99%
Crunch2.152.15

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

FC Bayern Munich

  1. +10 Q4 08:24 to Q4 05:20 65–63 to 65–73
  2. +9 Q1 06:05 to Q1 03:54 6–2 to 6–11
  3. +9 Q1 00:39 to Q2 08:34 12–13 to 12–22

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +12 Q2 00:16 to Q3 07:30 35–46 to 47–46
  2. +5 Q2 04:15 to Q2 03:22 23–35 to 28–35
  3. +5 Q3 02:39 to Q3 01:35 56–60 to 61–60