6.75

2018-19 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 11 · Thu, 6 Dec 2018

Olympiacos Piraeus at Zalgiris Kaunas

75–83Final, away–home

Box score

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Brandon Davies *2912330123+94-80-04-6
Marius Grigonis *2819011032+218-103-40-0
Nate Wolters *2814761011+276-131-21-2
Edgaras Ulanovas *245401112−112-31-10-0
Antanas Kavaliauskas *1612200202+104-60-04-4
Aaron White2713412004−64-50-15-7
Arturas Milaknis236320020+12-82-70-0
Leo Westermann130211011−90-40-20-0
Thomas Walkup40010001+20-00-00-0
Derrick Walton Jr30010010−20-20-20-0
Laurynas Birutis32000000−21-10-00-0
Team200832516641116+831-607-1914-19

Olympiacos Piraeus

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Georgios Printezis *3018330101+17-134-40-0
Kostas Papanikolaou *276621021−12-52-40-0
Janis Strelnieks *235131013−121-11-12-2
Nigel Williams-Goss *239131013−64-111-40-0
Nikola Milutinov *204511012−92-40-00-0
Vassilis Spanoulis279482051+52-91-64-5
Zach Leday2515410214−65-81-14-4
Janis Timma139401033+43-43-40-0
Vangelis Mantzaris70000012−160-10-10-0
Sasha Vezenkov30000000+20-10-10-0
Georgios Bogris20000001−20-10-00-0
Team200752821731521−826-5813-2610-11

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q3 07:03Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+10.2 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas48–46
  2. Q4 09:01Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+10.0 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas59–65
  3. Q3 04:13Three-point make, Olympiacos Piraeus+9.4 pp for Olympiacos Piraeus53–50
  4. Q3 01:50Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+9.3 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas57–56
  5. Q3 00:57Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+9.3 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas59–58

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartZalgiris KaunasOlympiacos Piraeus
Dominance+0.20−0.20
Control30%18%
Drama1.811.81
Comeback64%100%
Crunch0.180.18

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +12 Q3 00:57 to Q4 08:27 59–56 to 59–68
  2. +8 Q3 08:40 to Q3 06:21 48–40 to 48–48
  3. +5 Q2 02:14 to Q2 01:09 42–35 to 42–40

Olympiacos Piraeus

  1. +10 Q1 04:16 to Q1 01:26 16–16 to 26–16
  2. +6 Q2 00:33 to Q2 00:01 42–40 to 48–40
  3. +4 Q4 00:54 to Q4 00:45 69–80 to 73–80