6.75

2018-19 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 10 · Thu, 29 Nov 2018

Armani Olimpia Milan at Zalgiris Kaunas

78–83Final, away–home

Box score

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Brandon Davies *29271041102+1011-150-05-10
Nate Wolters *2511770002+155-91-20-0
Aaron White *237300022+62-50-03-4
Arturas Milaknis *236321022+192-42-30-0
Thomas Walkup *167531012−43-61-20-0
Edgaras Ulanovas258511111+44-60-00-1
Marius Grigonis257320013−52-70-23-3
Leo Westermann150060013−60-20-00-0
Antanas Kavaliauskas148110013−43-40-02-2
Derrick Walton Jr52011020−81-40-20-0
Laurynas Birutis00000000−20-00-00-0
Team200833727521120+533-624-1113-20

Armani Olimpia Milan

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Mike James *4017472044−56-172-93-4
Vladimir Micov *3614431002−115-131-43-4
Jeff Brooks *224421003−31-21-11-2
Andrea Cinciarini *124221011−62-30-00-2
Kaleb Tarczewski *123100114−61-20-01-2
Arturas Gudaitis2816703303+18-120-00-1
Dairis Bertans196311012+122-32-30-0
Mindaugas Kuzminskas1814110012−26-112-40-1
Curtis Jerrells140010011−50-30-30-0
Team20078261794922−531-668-248-16

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 03:57Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+14.0 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan71–73
  2. Q4 02:27Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+12.2 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas73–77
  3. Q4 01:20Two-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+11.2 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan75–77
  4. Q4 03:22Two-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+11.1 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan73–75
  5. Q4 05:27Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+10.2 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas68–71

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartZalgiris KaunasArmani Olimpia Milan
Dominance+0.48−0.48
Control83%0%
Drama1.971.97
Comeback49%99%
Crunch0.840.84

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +18 Q2 05:21 to Q2 00:24 29–22 to 29–40
  2. +5 Q4 09:50 to Q4 09:15 58–60 to 58–65
  3. +5 Q4 01:10 to Q4 00:07 75–77 to 75–82

Armani Olimpia Milan

  1. +7 Q4 07:23 to Q4 06:14 61–69 to 68–69
  2. +6 Q1 03:04 to Q1 01:07 15–16 to 21–16
  3. +5 Q3 04:48 to Q3 04:02 41–49 to 46–49