6.75

2018-19 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 9 · Thu, 22 Nov 2018

Real Madrid at Olympiacos Piraeus

83–88Final, away–home

Box score

Olympiacos Piraeus

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Nigel Williams-Goss *3223640022+96-142-49-10
Nikola Milutinov *288932300+53-50-02-2
Georgios Printezis *257410002+83-120-21-4
Kostas Papanikolaou *163310014−21-31-20-0
Janis Timma *120001010−20-20-00-0
Janis Strelnieks2715221035+155-82-43-3
Zach Leday2312501113−24-71-23-6
Vassilis Spanoulis2220331044+47-105-61-3
Vangelis Mantzaris110100002−70-10-10-0
Georgios Bogris30210010−30-00-00-0
Team200883515641322+529-6211-2119-28

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Facundo Campazzo *31142132053−14-101-65-6
Walter Tavares *2771011413−43-50-01-2
Anthony Randolph *259910022−23-102-41-2
Gabriel Deck *217410001+13-51-10-2
Fabien Causeur *100000011−120-20-10-0
Jaycee Carroll2116310004+106-124-70-0
Trey Thompkins178501001−43-70-32-2
Jeffery Taylor175100014−72-41-10-0
Rudy Fernandez1612013001−14-73-51-2
Klemen Prepelic103330011−91-61-40-0
Felipe Reyes62100001+40-10-02-2
Team200833821741122−529-6913-3212-18

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 00:06Two-point make, Real Madrid+13.5 pp for Real Madrid83–86
  2. Q4 09:55Three-point make, Olympiacos Piraeus+12.9 pp for Olympiacos Piraeus65–68
  3. Q4 05:26Two-point make, Olympiacos Piraeus+9.6 pp for Olympiacos Piraeus68–75
  4. Q4 06:08Two-point make, Olympiacos Piraeus+9.4 pp for Olympiacos Piraeus67–73
  5. Q3 09:44Three-point make, Real Madrid+9.3 pp for Real Madrid44–52

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartOlympiacos PiraeusReal Madrid
Dominance+0.17−0.17
Control38%10%
Drama2.272.27
Comeback69%97%
Crunch1.121.12

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Olympiacos Piraeus

  1. +11 Q1 07:13 to Q1 04:39 7–2 to 7–13
  2. +7 Q2 03:59 to Q2 02:53 36–41 to 36–48
  3. +6 Q2 04:43 to Q2 04:31 35–35 to 35–41

Real Madrid

  1. +10 Q2 08:42 to Q2 05:33 22–32 to 32–32
  2. +5 Q1 09:22 to Q1 08:28 0–0 to 5–0
  3. +5 Q3 08:02 to Q3 06:14 47–55 to 52–55