6.75

2018-19 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 8 · Wed, 21 Nov 2018

Zalgiris Kaunas at CSKA Moscow

97–99Final, away–home

Box score

CSKA Moscow

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Sergio Rodriguez *3724262120+108-166-102-2
Cory Higgins *3723210104+98-151-46-7
Will Clyburn *34151321004−34-80-37-8
Alec Peters *213210113−21-31-10-0
Othello Hunter *1610320024−34-60-02-3
Nando De Colo2813420004+44-130-25-5
Kyle Hines21330120301-40-01-2
Joel Bolomboy168211004+33-50-02-4
Andrey Vorontsevich70000003+20-00-00-0
Nikita Kurbanov50000000−70-00-00-0
Daniel Hackett30000002−30-00-00-0
Team22599311555531+233-708-2025-31

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Aaron White *3113320022−135-72-21-1
Edgaras Ulanovas *270320002+20-40-10-0
Nate Wolters *2614390003−56-140-22-4
Brandon Davies *228500024−72-90-04-4
Thomas Walkup *176611024−23-40-00-0
Marius Grigonis2413111003−23-51-26-8
Arturas Milaknis229210002−13-31-12-3
Antanas Kavaliauskas2019820024+144-70-011-12
Leo Westermann1911200003+23-73-52-2
Laurynas Birutis104201122−31-20-02-2
Derrick Walton Jr70120001+50-10-00-0
Team225973620311030−230-637-1330-36

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4OT1

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 00:43Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+43.3 pp for CSKA Moscow84–84
  2. Q4 00:35Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+30.3 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas86–84
  3. Q4 00:25Two-point make, CSKA Moscow+30.3 pp for CSKA Moscow86–86
  4. Q4 01:14Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+27.8 pp for CSKA Moscow84–81
  5. OT1 01:07Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+21.9 pp for CSKA Moscow94–97

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartCSKA MoscowZalgiris Kaunas
Dominance+0.40−0.40
Control87%7%
Drama3.533.53
Comeback89%97%
Crunch2.862.86

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

CSKA Moscow

  1. +7 Q1 04:37 to Q1 03:33 10–7 to 10–14
  2. +6 Q4 01:14 to Q4 00:43 84–78 to 84–84
  3. +5 Q2 05:31 to Q2 05:06 25–22 to 25–27

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +8 Q1 03:05 to Q1 01:21 10–14 to 18–14
  2. +8 Q4 06:24 to Q4 04:52 67–67 to 75–67
  3. +5 Q3 07:39 to Q3 07:05 40–42 to 45–42