6.75

2018-19 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 5 · Fri, 2 Nov 2018

Real Madrid at Zalgiris Kaunas

90–79Final, away–home

Box score

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Edgaras Ulanovas *3610411021−34-61-11-2
Nate Wolters *2316350033−118-120-10-1
Paulius Jankunas *2218730211+79-120-00-0
Brandon Davies *1711331025−45-80-01-3
Thomas Walkup *110300002−10-20-10-0
Aaron White26440113002-40-10-0
Arturas Milaknis247001112−232-42-31-2
Derrick Walton Jr115040021−12-50-11-1
Antanas Kavaliauskas102100023−151-20-00-0
Marius Grigonis93031002+51-10-01-1
Leo Westermann63121010+11-31-10-0
Laurynas Birutis40000000−100-00-00-0
Team200792621641720−1135-594-95-10

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Anthony Randolph *2716101001+85-102-34-5
Sergio Llull *2110020020−123-91-53-3
Jeffery Taylor *212220001−141-20-00-0
Fabien Causeur *167211112−182-51-12-2
Walter Tavares *134200022−142-30-00-2
Gustavo Ayon27131043114+254-50-05-8
Rudy Fernandez2515271011+275-105-70-0
Facundo Campazzo226351032+322-41-31-1
Jaycee Carroll159102003+184-101-40-0
Gabriel Deck138310014+34-50-00-1
Team200902622921120+1132-6311-2315-22

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 02:53Three-point make, Real Madrid+17.7 pp for Real Madrid79–74
  2. Q4 04:22Three-point make, Real Madrid+17.7 pp for Real Madrid76–73
  3. Q4 08:44Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+12.7 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas64–71
  4. Q4 05:42Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+9.6 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas71–73
  5. Q4 05:24Two-point make, Real Madrid+9.6 pp for Real Madrid73–73

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartZalgiris KaunasReal Madrid
Dominance+0.11−0.11
Control50%13%
Drama2.172.17
Comeback100%77%
Crunch0.520.52

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +10 Q3 04:58 to Q3 03:30 54–54 to 54–64
  2. +9 Q1 04:50 to Q1 03:22 8–10 to 8–19
  3. +4 Q1 08:25 to Q1 07:53 1–2 to 1–6

Real Madrid

  1. +8 Q4 01:24 to Q4 00:41 82–76 to 90–76
  2. +7 Q2 06:57 to Q2 06:20 23–34 to 30–34
  3. +7 Q4 08:22 to Q4 05:50 64–71 to 71–71