6.75

2018-19 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 4 · Fri, 26 Oct 2018

Zalgiris Kaunas at Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

87–83Final, away–home

Box score

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Nick Calathes *3822351024+28-193-103-8
Ioannis Papapetrou *338711202−12-81-43-4
Keith Langford *3213100011+24-111-44-6
James Gist *289520003−74-71-10-0
Konstantinos Mitoglou *182420024−31-30-10-0
Nikos Pappas188150012−122-72-52-2
Stephane Lasme175200115+42-20-01-2
Deshaun Thomas166100002+113-50-10-2
Lukas Lekavicius112221000−10-10-12-2
Thanasis Antetokounmpo84001001−101-21-21-2
Ian Vougioukas64010012−52-30-00-0
Team22583261843826−429-689-2916-28

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Nate Wolters *2910930014+33-121-43-3
Arturas Milaknis *270010001−70-30-00-0
Thomas Walkup *2414330014+16-110-22-2
Brandon Davies *2318400113+86-90-06-8
Paulius Jankunas *22442100201-50-02-2
Aaron White2713800012+104-60-25-5
Edgaras Ulanovas2511720021+33-61-14-4
Derrick Walton Jr155151032−22-31-10-0
Laurynas Birutis103100211−101-30-01-2
Leo Westermann95410022+102-41-10-0
Antanas Kavaliauskas9400000402-40-00-0
Marius Grigonis50010001+40-00-00-0
Team225874118231227+430-664-1123-26

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4OT1

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 00:49Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+23.8 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas74–74
  2. Q4 00:40Two-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+23.8 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens74–76
  3. Q4 00:06Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+23.8 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas76–76
  4. Q4 01:37Three-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+20.8 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens70–74
  5. Q4 03:26Three-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+20.7 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens69–69

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartPanathinaikos AKTOR AthensZalgiris Kaunas
Dominance−0.10+0.10
Control22%46%
Drama3.253.25
Comeback99%84%
Crunch2.302.30

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

  1. +8 Q3 00:05 to Q4 07:47 58–49 to 58–57
  2. +5 Q2 03:12 to Q2 02:19 39–22 to 39–27
  3. +5 Q2 01:25 to Q2 00:41 41–27 to 41–32

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +8 Q1 09:00 to Q1 06:44 2–4 to 10–4
  2. +8 Q2 07:50 to Q2 06:42 24–17 to 32–17
  3. +6 OT1 02:43 to OT1 01:11 80–80 to 86–80