6.75

2018-19 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 4 · Thu, 25 Oct 2018

Buducnost VOLI Pogdorica at Real Madrid

55–89Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Anthony Randolph *2111611000+212-91-46-7
Sergio Llull *219370010+162-71-64-4
Jeffery Taylor *2010210002+142-52-44-4
Walter Tavares *18101400312+164-50-02-4
Fabien Causeur *144010022+91-31-21-2
Jaycee Carroll2111110000+225-91-40-0
Facundo Campazzo205172021+201-11-12-2
Gabriel Deck199510020+134-60-01-2
Gustavo Ayon168521015+174-60-00-0
Klemen Prepelic152141011+141-40-20-1
Rudy Fernandez106121000+72-42-40-0
Felipe Reyes64010001+12-20-00-0
Team200893928631014+3430-619-2720-26

Buducnost VOLI Pogdorica

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Coty Clarke *299712103−273-111-42-2
Nemanja Gordic *2613210033−215-100-13-3
Alen Omic *2410800001−115-100-00-0
Aaron Craft *214211013−232-30-00-0
Earl Clark *160100012−170-100-40-0
Aleksa Ilic204602004−132-50-00-0
Edwin Jackson199101051−194-71-30-0
Filip Barovic164310032−232-50-00-2
Suad Sehovic110000001−70-20-20-0
Petar Popovic92010011−21-20-00-0
Nikola Ivanovic50010011−30-10-00-0
Danilo Nikolic40000000−40-00-00-2
Team20055306611522−3424-662-145-9

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q1 09:21Three-point make, Real Madrid+4.7 pp for Real Madrid2–3
  2. Q1 09:37Two-point make, Buducnost VOLI Pogdorica+3.8 pp for Buducnost VOLI Pogdorica2–0
  3. Q1 07:15Free throw, Real Madrid+3.4 pp for Real Madrid4–7
  4. Q1 05:22Two-point make, Buducnost VOLI Pogdorica+3.4 pp for Buducnost VOLI Pogdorica6–8
  5. Q1 05:10Two-point make, Real Madrid+3.4 pp for Real Madrid6–10

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridBuducnost VOLI Pogdorica
Dominance+0.89−0.89
Control100%0%
Drama0.370.37
Comeback16%100%
Crunch0.000.00

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +12 Q2 00:24 to Q3 07:02 31–42 to 31–54
  2. +9 Q2 09:24 to Q2 06:57 17–21 to 17–30
  3. +8 Q4 09:28 to Q4 06:43 44–65 to 44–73

Buducnost VOLI Pogdorica

  1. +6 Q2 05:24 to Q2 04:39 19–32 to 25–32
  2. +4 Q3 01:41 to Q3 00:10 40–65 to 44–65
  3. +4 Q4 05:20 to Q4 04:41 46–77 to 50–77