6.75

2018-19 EuroLeague · Playoffs · Tue, 23 Apr 2019

Real Madrid at Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

89–82Final, away–home

Box score

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Nick Calathes *3117273022−16-163-72-2
Ioannis Papapetrou *319502102−73-51-22-4
Matt Lojeski *2816130003+75-73-43-3
Georgios Papagiannis *144300011−122-60-00-0
James Gist *74100003−32-30-00-0
Deshaun Thomas3111400023−24-70-23-3
Ian Vougioukas258521202+53-70-02-2
Keith Langford1610120015−34-71-21-2
Lukas Lekavicius93000003−71-41-20-0
Sean Kilpatrick30100000−70-20-20-0
Thanasis Antetokounmpo20000010−40-00-00-0
Konstantinos Mitoglou20000001−10-00-00-0
Team20082231463725−730-649-2113-16

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Facundo Campazzo *32163101023+24-73-65-6
Anthony Randolph *2614300122−25-122-72-2
Jeffery Taylor *2413640013+176-91-30-2
Rudy Fernandez *241631101004-93-85-6
Walter Tavares *213710223+61-10-01-2
Gustavo Ayon1912640113+15-90-02-2
Trey Thompkins149400014+94-51-20-0
Gabriel Deck132200011+31-10-00-0
Jaycee Carroll112010001+81-40-10-0
Klemen Prepelic80111001+50-30-20-0
Fabien Causeur82000001−141-20-10-1
Team200893522341122+732-6210-3015-21

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 03:01Three-point make, Real Madrid+17.7 pp for Real Madrid75–70
  2. Q4 03:50Two-point make, Real Madrid+14.5 pp for Real Madrid72–68
  3. Q4 04:29Two-point make, Real Madrid+13.1 pp for Real Madrid70–68
  4. Q4 03:24Two-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+11.9 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens72–70
  5. Q4 05:14Two-point make, Real Madrid+11.6 pp for Real Madrid68–68

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartPanathinaikos AKTOR AthensReal Madrid
Dominance−0.23+0.23
Control3%50%
Drama2.612.61
Comeback100%62%
Crunch0.950.95

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

  1. +11 Q2 03:12 to Q2 00:50 34–25 to 34–36
  2. +7 Q1 04:09 to Q1 02:49 14–9 to 14–16
  3. +5 Q1 05:50 to Q1 04:41 12–4 to 12–9

Real Madrid

  1. +9 Q1 01:30 to Q2 08:03 18–18 to 27–18
  2. +7 Q1 07:05 to Q1 06:08 5–4 to 12–4
  3. +6 Q4 05:14 to Q4 03:50 66–68 to 72–68