6.75

2018-19 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 30 · Thu, 4 Apr 2019

Zalgiris Kaunas at Real Madrid

93–86Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Facundo Campazzo *282450013−111-70-30-0
Anthony Randolph *2417520002+85-132-75-5
Walter Tavares *1822720202+910-100-02-3
Santi Yusta *184000014−62-40-20-1
Fabien Causeur *177410011+73-80-21-2
Jeffery Taylor222301011−51-20-10-0
Jaycee Carroll1811200034−63-60-15-5
Klemen Prepelic176170013−12-61-31-2
Gustavo Ayon178540102−104-90-00-0
Trey Thompkins105200002−112-41-20-0
Felipe Reyes62300000−41-20-00-0
Ognjen Kuzmic50000012−50-00-00-0
Team20086362113926−734-714-2114-18

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Brandon Davies *26271022033+1010-150-07-7
Edgaras Ulanovas *227310011+41-41-34-4
Aaron White *199110011−42-51-34-4
Leo Westermann *17943102303-72-51-2
Marius Grigonis *165510004+72-51-10-0
Thomas Walkup244571024+92-50-20-0
Arturas Milaknis217030003−51-31-34-5
Deon Thompson217500202+103-50-01-2
Nate Wolters218020001+73-71-21-2
Antanas Kavaliauskas1410221002−35-70-00-0
Team20093352252924+732-637-1922-26

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 01:28Two-point make, Real Madrid+22.2 pp for Real Madrid84–83
  2. Q4 00:36Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+22.0 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas88–83
  3. Q4 01:49Two-point make, Real Madrid+21.8 pp for Real Madrid82–81
  4. Q4 01:37Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+20.5 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas84–81
  5. Q4 03:53Three-point make, Real Madrid+18.6 pp for Real Madrid76–77

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridZalgiris Kaunas
Dominance+0.24−0.24
Control53%13%
Drama2.222.22
Comeback99%85%
Crunch2.572.57

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +8 Q3 01:43 to Q3 01:09 64–50 to 64–58
  2. +5 Q3 02:40 to Q3 02:27 61–45 to 61–50
  3. +4 Q1 09:41 to Q1 09:06 0–0 to 0–4

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +6 Q1 08:15 to Q1 07:41 2–6 to 8–6
  2. +6 Q2 08:49 to Q2 08:03 27–29 to 33–29
  3. +5 Q1 04:26 to Q1 03:28 12–16 to 17–16