6.75

2018-19 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 29 · Thu, 28 Mar 2019

Real Madrid at Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

74–73Final, away–home

Box score

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Nick Calathes *3414950022−55-171-83-5
Georgios Papagiannis *309700134−74-50-01-4
Deshaun Thomas *268410002−63-71-21-1
Ioannis Papapetrou *257321114+23-80-21-2
Sean Kilpatrick *188001023−42-42-32-2
Keith Langford2314323003+25-112-42-2
James Gist171500211+40-30-01-2
Matt Lojeski72000002−50-20-12-2
Ian Vougioukas76110000+72-40-02-2
Thanasis Antetokounmpo72210003+51-30-00-0
Lukas Lekavicius62000011+20-30-02-2
Team200733412541025−125-676-2017-24

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Sergio Llull *3012351022+14-123-91-2
Walter Tavares *29141620003+26-70-02-4
Rudy Fernandez *2713510010+24-103-72-2
Anthony Randolph *195200012+111-51-42-4
Jeffery Taylor *142110113−41-40-30-0
Facundo Campazzo265552013+101-61-42-2
Trey Thompkins2110100013−104-92-40-0
Jaycee Carroll146100011−31-61-33-4
Gustavo Ayon94200013+10-10-04-6
Fabien Causeur60100003−80-10-00-0
Santi Yusta43120011+81-31-20-0
Ognjen Kuzmic10100000−50-10-00-0
Team200743916311024+123-6512-3616-24

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 00:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+44.7 pp for Real Madrid74–73
  2. Q4 00:58Two-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+24.6 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens70–73
  3. Q4 01:16Free throw, Real Madrid+13.9 pp for Real Madrid70–71
  4. Q4 06:53Three-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+11.5 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens56–65
  5. Q4 08:18Three-point make, Real Madrid+11.4 pp for Real Madrid56–62

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartPanathinaikos AKTOR AthensReal Madrid
Dominance+0.42−0.42
Control88%3%
Drama2.202.20
Comeback71%95%
Crunch1.341.34

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

  1. +10 Q1 08:58 to Q1 07:23 3–0 to 3–10
  2. +8 Q1 06:47 to Q1 05:00 6–10 to 6–18
  3. +6 Q1 01:02 to Q1 00:03 14–26 to 14–32

Real Madrid

  1. +10 Q4 04:57 to Q4 01:16 60–71 to 70–71
  2. +5 Q2 08:23 to Q2 07:43 17–34 to 22–34
  3. +5 Q3 07:46 to Q3 07:18 39–50 to 44–50