6.75

2018-19 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 28 · Thu, 21 Mar 2019

Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul at CSKA Moscow

68–70Final, away–home

Box score

CSKA Moscow

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Cory Higgins *2515110011+56-93-50-0
Nikita Kurbanov *234802001−22-20-00-0
Sergio Rodriguez *199040032−24-61-20-0
Joel Bolomboy *150300024+10-00-00-0
Othello Hunter *134200003−32-40-00-0
Will Clyburn2816800012−26-120-14-5
Daniel Hackett215011014+32-51-20-0
Alec Peters208401111+82-60-14-4
Kyle Hines194220033−41-20-02-4
Nando De Colo185110010+61-40-23-4
Ivan Ukhov0000000000-00-00-0
Semen Antonov0000000000-00-00-0
Team20070299411321+226-505-1313-17

Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Nikola Kalinic *3617741021+17-121-32-3
Nicolo Melli *338412005−13-81-31-2
Ali Muhammed *2515222022+15-103-52-3
Marko Guduric *154101012−31-50-32-2
Ahmet Duverioglu *80100101+40-10-00-0
Luigi Datome25631002303-60-30-0
Jan Vesely2510223113−73-50-04-4
Kostas Sloukas188221021−42-41-33-3
Erick Green80110001−50-10-10-0
Melih Mahmutoglu70000001+40-20-20-0
Team2006823131021020−224-546-2314-17

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 00:25Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+34.5 pp for CSKA Moscow65–68
  2. Q4 01:37Three-point make, Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul+25.2 pp for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul62–63
  3. Q4 01:03Two-point make, Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul+22.3 pp for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul64–65
  4. Q4 03:50Three-point make, Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul+20.9 pp for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul57–56
  5. Q4 01:16Two-point make, CSKA Moscow+19.4 pp for CSKA Moscow62–65

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartCSKA MoscowFenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul
Dominance+0.20−0.20
Control43%3%
Drama2.462.46
Comeback63%89%
Crunch2.692.69

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

CSKA Moscow

  1. +14 Q2 01:38 to Q3 08:26 35–27 to 35–41
  2. +5 Q1 07:13 to Q1 06:34 6–2 to 6–7
  3. +5 Q1 01:34 to Q1 00:57 16–9 to 16–14

Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul

  1. +7 Q3 04:43 to Q3 02:11 41–48 to 48–48
  2. +5 Q1 06:21 to Q1 05:54 6–7 to 11–7
  3. +5 Q1 03:44 to Q1 03:26 11–9 to 16–9