6.75

2018-19 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 24 · Fri, 1 Mar 2019

Real Madrid at FC Barcelona

70–77Final, away–home

Box score

FC Barcelona

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Chris Singleton *304902122+182-50-20-0
Ante Tomic *30221330013+109-160-04-6
Victor Claver *264321321−101-40-22-2
Thomas Heurtel *24173101032+146-82-33-6
Adam Hanga *190311033+70-60-40-0
Pau Ribas185302021+61-30-13-5
Kyle Kuric1715010010+115-72-33-4
Kevin Pangos165000024−71-61-32-2
Pierre Oriola142200012−131-10-00-0
Kevin Seraphin63300123−11-30-01-2
Team200773917751921+727-595-1818-27

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Anthony Randolph *3112920110−94-102-62-5
Sergio Llull *249041024−13-91-52-2
Walter Tavares *214501013−52-20-00-0
Gabriel Deck *132201012−40-20-22-2
Fabien Causeur *102011012−81-50-20-0
Facundo Campazzo236112063−82-81-41-2
Rudy Fernandez2215020035+145-83-62-2
Gustavo Ayon194411001−22-30-00-0
Jaycee Carroll1910110004+44-101-41-1
Felipe Reyes94502021+22-50-10-0
Jeffery Taylor62100001−131-20-10-0
Klemen Prepelic40000000−50-10-00-0
Team200702812911726−726-658-3110-14

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q3 01:57Three-point make, Real Madrid+11.8 pp for Real Madrid49–54
  2. Q3 02:15Three-point make, FC Barcelona+10.8 pp for FC Barcelona46–54
  3. Q2 03:10Three-point make, FC Barcelona+10.2 pp for FC Barcelona31–33
  4. Q3 02:39Three-point make, Real Madrid+9.6 pp for Real Madrid46–51
  5. Q2 00:35Three-point make, FC Barcelona+8.3 pp for FC Barcelona35–42

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartFC BarcelonaReal Madrid
Dominance+0.27−0.27
Control53%10%
Drama1.691.69
Comeback67%99%
Crunch0.420.42

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

FC Barcelona

  1. +8 Q3 08:42 to Q3 06:31 37–42 to 37–50
  2. +7 Q1 07:37 to Q1 06:44 5–0 to 5–7
  3. +7 Q2 05:41 to Q2 04:20 29–21 to 29–28

Real Madrid

  1. +8 Q2 09:17 to Q2 07:27 17–18 to 25–18
  2. +6 Q3 06:11 to Q3 03:52 37–50 to 43–50
  3. +5 Q1 09:18 to Q1 08:27 0–0 to 5–0