6.75

2018-19 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 19 · Fri, 18 Jan 2019

Real Madrid at Buducnost VOLI Pogdorica

60–73Final, away–home

Box score

Buducnost VOLI Pogdorica

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Earl Clark *2910013211+164-112-50-0
Edwin Jackson *2610111012+54-70-22-3
Norris Cole *2314271034+76-172-50-0
Suad Sehovic *150602003+50-00-00-0
Filip Barovic *126101002+42-40-02-2
Goga Bitadze28131001303+94-111-54-4
Coty Clarke20121201102+94-70-04-4
James Bell183010124+71-41-20-0
Nemanja Gordic175230001+62-61-20-0
Danilo Nikolic110000003−30-20-20-0
Team200733413107725+1327-697-2312-13

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Sergio Llull *2810600032−92-102-84-4
Walter Tavares *196310333−63-30-00-0
Jeffery Taylor *165111101−72-41-30-2
Anthony Randolph *133400000−101-31-20-0
Fabien Causeur *80220010−20-10-00-0
Facundo Campazzo257240013−61-51-34-4
Rudy Fernandez208521023−83-62-50-0
Gabriel Deck204501031−92-50-00-0
Trey Thompkins209400021−73-101-72-2
Gustavo Ayon172520130−50-50-02-6
Felipe Reyes84100000+41-30-02-2
Klemen Prepelic7200000200-20-22-2
Team200603812351816−1318-578-3016-22

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 08:36Three-point make, Real Madrid+13.5 pp for Real Madrid51–58
  2. Q4 08:06Three-point make, Buducnost VOLI Pogdorica+12.2 pp for Buducnost VOLI Pogdorica51–61
  3. Q3 01:17Three-point make, Real Madrid+12.2 pp for Real Madrid45–56
  4. Q3 00:52Three-point make, Real Madrid+11.6 pp for Real Madrid48–56
  5. Q3 01:53Three-point make, Buducnost VOLI Pogdorica+10.8 pp for Buducnost VOLI Pogdorica42–56

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartBuducnost VOLI PogdoricaReal Madrid
Dominance+0.09−0.09
Control43%30%
Drama1.681.68
Comeback74%100%
Crunch0.120.12

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Buducnost VOLI Pogdorica

  1. +8 Q2 01:02 to Q3 09:03 28–34 to 28–42
  2. +7 Q1 09:37 to Q1 07:44 0–0 to 0–7
  3. +6 Q1 05:22 to Q1 02:55 10–9 to 10–15

Real Madrid

  1. +7 Q1 06:42 to Q1 05:41 3–9 to 10–9
  2. +6 Q3 01:17 to Q3 00:52 42–56 to 48–56
  3. +4 Q2 06:03 to Q2 04:45 17–27 to 21–27