6.75

2018-19 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 2 · Wed, 17 Oct 2018

Real Madrid at Armani Olimpia Milan

91–85Final, away–home

Box score

Armani Olimpia Milan

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Mike James *3421470013−37-204-133-5
Vladimir Micov *3220103004−87-132-44-5
Jeff Brooks *2961201001+73-70-10-0
Nemanja Nedovic *296653013−12-112-90-0
Kaleb Tarczewski *218800003+84-110-00-0
Arturas Gudaitis1913321114−144-80-05-5
Dairis Bertans166031003+12-52-40-0
Mindaugas Kuzminskas112100102−130-10-12-4
Curtis Jerrells63020002−31-31-30-0
Amedeo Della Valle30000101−40-10-10-0
Team20085351993326−630-8011-3614-19

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Anthony Randolph *30251120012+48-123-46-9
Rudy Fernandez *2310730010+43-72-52-3
Walter Tavares *2212710314+136-70-00-0
Jeffery Taylor *186020011−132-30-12-2
Sergio Llull *100100002−80-30-10-0
Facundo Campazzo3321471011+166-104-65-6
Jaycee Carroll2712220001+133-122-74-4
Felipe Reyes134511023+11-40-02-2
Gabriel Deck101200000+30-20-21-2
Fabien Causeur100100021+60-00-00-0
Ognjen Kuzmic50200021−90-10-00-0
Team200914218231116+629-6111-2622-28

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 01:23Three-point make, Real Madrid+21.3 pp for Real Madrid84–80
  2. Q4 04:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+15.1 pp for Real Madrid79–75
  3. Q4 03:27Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+15.1 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan81–80
  4. Q4 04:20Two-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+11.9 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan76–75
  5. Q3 01:57Three-point make, Real Madrid+11.0 pp for Real Madrid64–60

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartArmani Olimpia MilanReal Madrid
Dominance−0.13+0.13
Control28%43%
Drama2.522.52
Comeback100%70%
Crunch0.940.94

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Armani Olimpia Milan

  1. +7 Q1 05:48 to Q1 04:41 9–9 to 9–16
  2. +7 Q1 03:40 to Q1 02:52 10–16 to 10–23
  3. +6 Q2 07:45 to Q2 07:22 23–30 to 23–36

Real Madrid

  1. +11 Q3 05:10 to Q3 02:38 50–57 to 61–57
  2. +7 Q2 09:10 to Q2 08:03 16–30 to 23–30
  3. +7 Q4 01:23 to Q4 00:26 81–80 to 88–80