6.75

2018-19 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 15 · Fri, 28 Dec 2018

Real Madrid at Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul

63–65Final, away–home

Box score

Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Jan Vesely *3513520002+16-100-01-2
Ali Muhammed *3010100010−43-112-72-2
Marko Guduric *2911440123+73-121-64-5
Luigi Datome *2917711033+187-101-22-2
Nicolo Melli *264801133+162-50-20-0
Nikola Kalinic163200014−151-41-30-0
Joffrey Lauvergne144310000−72-50-30-0
Sinan Guler70001001+20-10-00-0
Melih Mahmutoglu63010001+11-31-20-0
Erick Green50100000−50-10-10-0
Ahmet Duverioglu30000000−40-00-00-0
Team20065319321017+225-626-269-11

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Anthony Randolph *2511511024−165-101-50-0
Gustavo Ayon *238621143−134-40-00-2
Sergio Llull *172110023−81-50-30-0
Jaycee Carroll *1411000001−14-73-50-0
Gabriel Deck *70001000−50-10-10-0
Facundo Campazzo28736401302-81-22-2
Rudy Fernandez2212111101+84-94-60-0
Jeffery Taylor190230001+10-20-20-0
Walter Tavares166300000+142-40-02-2
Trey Thompkins154311011+112-50-10-0
Fabien Causeur122220001−11-30-00-0
Team200632617921018−225-589-254-6

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 00:06Two-point make, Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul+29.0 pp for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul63–64
  2. Q4 00:34Two-point make, Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul+27.6 pp for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul63–62
  3. Q4 04:47Three-point make, Real Madrid+20.7 pp for Real Madrid61–57
  4. Q4 01:44Three-point make, Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul+19.6 pp for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul63–60
  5. Q4 07:11Three-point make, Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul+14.0 pp for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul51–55

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartFenerbahce Tarfin IstanbulReal Madrid
Dominance+0.30−0.30
Control88%10%
Drama2.742.74
Comeback91%84%
Crunch1.201.20

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul

  1. +8 Q1 08:34 to Q1 06:51 2–0 to 2–8
  2. +8 Q4 01:44 to Q4 00:06 63–57 to 63–65
  3. +7 Q1 01:40 to Q2 09:13 12–17 to 12–24

Real Madrid

  1. +9 Q4 06:07 to Q4 02:42 54–57 to 63–57
  2. +8 Q2 07:50 to Q2 06:45 12–24 to 20–24
  3. +6 Q3 03:44 to Q3 02:31 36–41 to 42–41