6.75

2018-19 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 14 · Fri, 21 Dec 2018

Real Madrid at FC Bayern Munich

82–72Final, away–home

Box score

FC Bayern Munich

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Danilo Barthel *2710610002−64-102-40-0
Vladimir Lucic *267312120−162-51-32-2
Nihad Dedovic *2210321012−24-60-22-2
Maodo Lo *205141012+52-61-30-0
Marvin Ogunsipe *142000002−91-10-00-0
Derrick Williams237011031−92-90-43-4
Stefan Jovic2011352032−154-61-22-2
Petteri Koponen1810310010−94-82-40-0
Leon Radosevic168100013+43-50-02-2
Nemanja Dangubic122200002+101-40-20-0
Robin Amaize30000002−30-00-00-0
Team200722215711218−1027-607-2411-12

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Facundo Campazzo *263312042+31-51-30-0
Sergio Llull *2519061012+146-95-82-2
Anthony Randolph *2322510001−18-124-72-2
Gustavo Ayon *224281052+62-30-00-0
Gabriel Deck *72100000+61-10-00-0
Rudy Fernandez258422012+72-72-72-2
Walter Tavares182302441+41-20-00-0
Jeffery Taylor178111002−33-32-20-0
Trey Thompkins1710600002+114-81-31-2
Fabien Causeur122021010+60-30-22-2
Jaycee Carroll82000002−31-30-20-0
Team2008225211041616+1029-5615-349-10

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 05:21Two-point make, FC Bayern Munich+10.9 pp for FC Bayern Munich70–68
  2. Q4 06:06Two-point make, Real Madrid+10.4 pp for Real Madrid70–66
  3. Q4 04:12Three-point make, Real Madrid+8.6 pp for Real Madrid75–68
  4. Q1 05:43Three-point make, FC Bayern Munich+7.8 pp for FC Bayern Munich9–10
  5. Q1 03:16Three-point make, Real Madrid+7.6 pp for Real Madrid17–13

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartFC Bayern MunichReal Madrid
Dominance−0.73+0.73
Control0%100%
Drama1.081.08
Comeback100%33%
Crunch0.240.24

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

FC Bayern Munich

  1. +7 Q4 09:07 to Q4 08:06 68–59 to 68–66
  2. +6 Q3 03:08 to Q3 02:28 63–47 to 63–53
  3. +6 Q3 02:00 to Q3 00:18 65–53 to 65–59

Real Madrid

  1. +11 Q1 04:01 to Q1 01:56 11–13 to 22–13
  2. +6 Q2 00:00 to Q3 09:36 43–31 to 49–31
  3. +5 Q1 09:45 to Q1 08:46 0–0 to 5–0