6.75

2017-18 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 12 · Fri, 15 Dec 2017

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade at Valencia Basket

86–82Final, away–home

Box score

Valencia Basket

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Will Thomas *288331024−103-42-20-0
Tibor Pleiss *2513710022+96-90-01-3
Fernando San Emeterio *2317131032−27-102-31-2
Guillem Vives *223251023+11-51-40-0
Erick Green *2110100022−43-60-24-4
Bojan Dubljevic2441000104+12-60-10-0
Alberto Abalde2012310004+44-62-32-2
Sam Van Rossom189040022−53-41-22-2
Aaron Doornekamp156112122−81-40-34-5
Rafa Martinez40000002−60-00-00-0
Team200822818521527−430-548-2014-18

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
James Feldeine *3226350021+68-140-410-10
Milko Bjelica *304923014+11-80-42-3
Taylor Rochestie *2313020030−124-91-34-4
Nemanja Dangubic *209310025+183-61-32-2
Mathias Lessort *145303022−12-30-01-1
Pero Antic2610014003+53-62-42-4
Dejan Davidovac186000001+112-32-20-0
Branko Lazic162410033−100-10-02-2
Ognjen Dobric105200001−11-20-13-4
Stefan Jankovic94200004+32-40-00-0
Nikola Jovanovic1200000001-10-00-0
Team2008626121001324+427-576-2126-30

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 01:09Three-point make, Valencia Basket+40.1 pp for Valencia Basket76–77
  2. Q4 00:43Two-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+28.2 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade78–77
  3. Q4 00:10Three-point make, Valencia Basket+23.3 pp for Valencia Basket82–80
  4. Q4 03:35Three-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+20.5 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade72–72
  5. Q4 01:43Two-point make, Valencia Basket+18.9 pp for Valencia Basket76–74

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartValencia BasketCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade
Dominance+0.15−0.15
Control43%20%
Drama3.953.95
Comeback91%97%
Crunch2.772.77

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Valencia Basket

  1. +14 Q2 02:52 to Q3 08:42 40–29 to 40–43
  2. +7 Q3 01:56 to Q3 00:57 54–54 to 54–61
  3. +7 Q4 08:42 to Q4 07:24 59–65 to 59–72

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

  1. +17 Q4 06:02 to Q4 02:28 59–72 to 76–72
  2. +9 Q1 05:39 to Q1 03:40 6–9 to 15–9
  3. +9 Q1 00:01 to Q2 08:40 24–22 to 33–22