6.75

2017-18 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 28 · Thu, 22 Mar 2018

Valencia Basket at Armani Olimpia Milan

93–89Final, away–home

Box score

Armani Olimpia Milan

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Vladimir Micov *3327541121+110-147-90-1
Andrea Cinciarini *268520004+122-50-04-7
Mindaugas Kuzminskas *21832201003-81-21-2
Kaleb Tarczewski *175500023+12-30-01-2
Andrew Goudelock *14001001200-50-20-0
Curtis Jerrells2417331012−105-93-54-4
Dairis Bertans246132003−42-112-90-0
Arturas Gudaitis2313801113−55-90-03-3
Amath M'Baye135110003−92-21-10-0
Jordan Theodore60000001−60-10-10-0
Team20089311672822−431-6714-2913-19

Valencia Basket

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Joan Sastre *229420114−64-61-30-0
Will Thomas *212310000−91-40-10-0
Bojan Dubljevic *1911421013−115-110-21-1
Alberto Abalde *156231001−101-21-13-4
Rafa Martinez *118010002+61-21-15-5
Erick Green2618100012+27-123-61-1
Tibor Pleiss2111800122+124-80-13-4
Aaron Doornekamp198410004+162-32-22-2
Fernando San Emeterio187660042+103-61-30-0
Sergi Garcia152221022+51-30-20-0
Sam Van Rossom1311010001+54-53-30-0
Team200933419321123+433-6212-2515-17

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 00:42Two-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+22.7 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan90–89
  2. Q4 01:45Three-point make, Valencia Basket+17.0 pp for Valencia Basket90–84
  3. Q4 02:08Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+15.2 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan87–84
  4. Q4 00:15Free throw, Valencia Basket+14.3 pp for Valencia Basket91–89
  5. Q4 02:55Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+13.6 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan85–81

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartArmani Olimpia MilanValencia Basket
Dominance−0.06+0.06
Control23%30%
Drama2.152.15
Comeback97%67%
Crunch1.341.34

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Armani Olimpia Milan

  1. +7 Q4 04:30 to Q4 02:55 85–74 to 85–81
  2. +6 Q2 01:34 to Q3 09:48 40–40 to 40–46
  3. +5 Q1 05:07 to Q1 03:48 9–10 to 9–15

Valencia Basket

  1. +8 Q3 06:42 to Q3 05:19 46–48 to 54–48
  2. +8 Q3 01:04 to Q4 09:55 62–65 to 70–65
  3. +6 Q1 02:23 to Q1 00:45 11–20 to 17–20