6.75

2017-18 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 27 · Tue, 20 Mar 2018

Real Madrid at Valencia Basket

88–96Final, away–home

Box score

Valencia Basket

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Will Thomas *287422001+33-51-10-0
Joan Sastre *2511222102+53-52-33-4
Bojan Dubljevic *2417721012+48-161-50-1
Alberto Abalde *205530002+42-71-20-0
Rafa Martinez *1913100013+123-52-35-6
Sam Van Rossom2210150042+174-61-21-1
Erick Green207132001+13-91-50-1
Aaron Doornekamp176600110−22-42-40-0
Tibor Pleiss1614300011+46-102-20-0
Guillem Vives116210113−82-32-30-0
Team20096321873917+836-7015-309-13

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Facundo Campazzo *36173123024−56-111-44-4
Anthony Randolph *276920104−92-70-22-4
Jeffery Taylor *2517214023−27-123-40-0
Walter Tavares *152300213−121-20-00-4
Jaycee Carroll *139001002−74-71-20-0
Fabien Causeur2312210020+15-82-40-0
Rudy Fernandez198330010−103-82-70-1
Gustavo Ayon172320001+11-20-00-0
Trey Thompkins1614600011+15-72-32-2
Felipe Reyes51300001+30-20-01-2
Chasson Randle40011021−10-00-00-0
Team200883422931120−834-6611-269-17

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 03:44Three-point make, Valencia Basket+18.4 pp for Valencia Basket75–83
  2. Q4 04:03Three-point make, Real Madrid+15.6 pp for Real Madrid75–80
  3. Q4 05:59Three-point make, Valencia Basket+15.3 pp for Valencia Basket69–78
  4. Q4 07:32Three-point make, Valencia Basket+14.3 pp for Valencia Basket65–73
  5. Q4 05:38Three-point make, Real Madrid+13.8 pp for Real Madrid72–78

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartValencia BasketReal Madrid
Dominance+0.17−0.17
Control48%20%
Drama2.002.00
Comeback67%99%
Crunch0.630.63

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Valencia Basket

  1. +9 Q2 00:00 to Q3 07:37 40–44 to 40–53
  2. +7 Q1 07:46 to Q1 06:16 7–7 to 7–14
  3. +6 Q1 00:19 to Q2 09:40 21–19 to 21–25

Real Madrid

  1. +7 Q1 05:55 to Q1 04:13 7–14 to 14–14
  2. +7 Q3 00:44 to Q4 07:53 58–70 to 65–70
  3. +5 Q1 02:17 to Q1 00:41 16–19 to 21–19