6.75

2017-18 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 16 · Fri, 5 Jan 2018

Zalgiris Kaunas at Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

65–77Final, away–home

Box score

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Taylor Rochestie *28164104042+105-94-72-2
Milko Bjelica *277310002+173-120-41-2
Nemanja Dangubic *239512024+32-41-34-4
Mathias Lessort *204902001−42-60-00-0
Branko Lazic *185300004+152-61-30-0
Dejan Davidovac2113202213+73-43-34-4
James Feldeine192321021−30-80-42-2
Pero Antic195503004+171-50-23-4
Stefan Jankovic124001002−62-50-10-0
Dylan Ennis1212210011+42-41-27-8
Team2007736151521024+1222-6310-2923-26

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Edgaras Ulanovas *288520011−123-30-02-2
Kevin Pangos *2819730045−57-133-72-2
Paulius Jankunas *191011012404-50-12-2
Brandon Davies *152221012−80-40-02-2
Axel Toupane *133011011+61-21-10-0
Aaron White289611222−164-80-21-3
Arturas Milaknis256301014−71-41-33-4
Vasilije Micic232320030−120-60-32-2
Antanas Kavaliauskas10210002301-10-00-2
Beno Udrih94110011−62-40-10-0
Team200652913431823−1223-505-1814-19

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 07:40Three-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+13.7 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade50–53
  2. Q4 06:50Three-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+13.2 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade50–56
  3. Q4 09:46Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+11.2 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas48–48
  4. Q3 08:34Three-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+9.5 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade31–38
  5. Q4 08:10Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+8.1 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas50–50

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet BelgradeZalgiris Kaunas
Dominance+0.39−0.39
Control65%0%
Drama1.661.66
Comeback46%100%
Crunch0.090.09

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

  1. +10 Q4 07:40 to Q4 06:16 50–50 to 50–60
  2. +8 Q2 02:04 to Q3 08:34 31–30 to 31–38
  3. +5 Q1 09:39 to Q1 08:22 0–0 to 0–5

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +9 Q3 01:30 to Q4 09:46 39–48 to 48–48
  2. +5 Q1 05:45 to Q1 05:00 2–8 to 7–8
  3. +5 Q1 04:11 to Q1 03:41 7–10 to 12–10