6.75

2016-17 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 4 · Fri, 28 Oct 2016

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade at Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

59–70Final, away–home

Box score

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Nick Calathes *3316651024+137-132-40-2
James Feldeine *337531003+153-80-41-1
James Gist *3117303033+57-100-33-4
Chris Singleton *230310203+100-40-20-0
Demetris Nichols *186221202+82-60-12-3
K.C. Rivers2412101110+65-82-30-0
Ioannis Bourousis1512800222−24-91-33-4
Nikos Pappas130000001−80-00-00-0
Antonis Fotsis100300010+80-00-00-0
Team20070311177918+1128-585-209-14

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Stefan Jovic *263220030−91-41-30-0
Ognjen Kuzmic *23151500042−97-90-01-1
Charles Jenkins *208101013+53-50-12-2
Nemanja Dangubic *182300012−41-40-20-0
Luka Mitrovic *164110003−62-50-00-0
Marko Simonovic244300002−52-110-50-1
Branko Lazic220001002−70-10-00-0
Marko Guduric173120012−171-31-20-2
Milko Bjelica1712200002−24-122-32-2
Nate Wolters148231012−23-61-21-1
Ognjen Dobric30100010+10-00-00-0
Team20059318301220−1124-605-186-9

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q1 03:12Three-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+4.5 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade7–11
  2. Q1 02:55Three-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+4.5 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens7–14
  3. Q1 02:34Three-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+4.5 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade10–14
  4. Q1 08:36Two-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+4.5 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens2–5
  5. Q1 06:40Two-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+4.5 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade4–5

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartPanathinaikos AKTOR AthensCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade
Dominance+0.83−0.83
Control100%0%
Drama0.590.59
Comeback36%100%
Crunch0.020.02

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

  1. +13 Q1 00:03 to Q2 07:20 14–21 to 14–34
  2. +6 Q1 05:45 to Q1 03:30 4–5 to 4–11
  3. +6 Q2 01:53 to Q3 08:45 25–41 to 25–47

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

  1. +9 Q4 09:58 to Q4 06:24 41–61 to 50–61
  2. +7 Q2 04:07 to Q2 02:19 18–41 to 25–41
  3. +4 Q4 01:22 to Q4 00:50 55–70 to 59–70