6.75

2016-17 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 15 · Thu, 29 Dec 2016

Zalgiris Kaunas at Armani Olimpia Milan

78–70Final, away–home

Box score

Armani Olimpia Milan

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Ricky Hickman *3315321023−14-113-54-5
Zoran Dragic *2510402235+74-100-42-3
Rakim Sanders *2415512213+77-121-30-2
Miroslav Raduljica *110211042−130-00-00-0
Davide Pascolo *112300003−141-30-00-0
Jamel McLean262352025+101-20-00-2
Mantas Kalnietis2416101151−96-102-22-2
Milan Macvan238312003−32-40-24-4
Simone Fontecchio92000003−121-30-20-0
Andrea Cinciarini70110011−70-20-00-0
Awudu Abass60110010−50-20-20-0
Team2007026121151929−826-596-2012-18

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Leo Westermann *282152020+100-40-32-2
Kevin Pangos *266272032+132-42-20-0
Paulius Jankunas *2691120033−23-121-22-2
Edgaras Ulanovas *2411412031−25-51-10-0
Robertas Javtokas *84201013+122-20-00-0
Brock Motum269221004+92-81-24-4
Arturas Milaknis2116201012+54-64-64-4
Lukas Lekavicius169010021−52-30-05-6
Augusto Lima136212022+12-40-02-2
Antanas Kavaliauskas74000014−22-20-00-0
Renaldas Seibutis52100010+10-10-12-2
Team2007827191101922+824-519-1721-22

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 08:55Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+14.3 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas59–56
  2. Q4 08:02Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+13.0 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas62–56
  3. Q3 01:18Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+12.0 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan54–56
  4. Q3 07:08Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+10.7 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan42–36
  5. Q3 02:39Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+10.2 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan48–51

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartArmani Olimpia MilanZalgiris Kaunas
Dominance−0.21+0.21
Control8%30%
Drama2.022.02
Comeback100%68%
Crunch0.200.20

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Armani Olimpia Milan

  1. +13 Q3 07:08 to Q3 04:23 42–33 to 42–46
  2. +6 Q4 04:06 to Q4 03:22 74–60 to 74–66
  3. +3 Q1 04:39 to Q1 04:39 12–4 to 12–7

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +13 Q3 00:53 to Q4 06:22 54–56 to 67–56
  2. +6 Q3 09:45 to Q3 08:10 36–33 to 42–33
  3. +5 Q1 09:27 to Q1 08:37 0–0 to 5–0