6.75

2016-17 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 14 · Thu, 22 Dec 2016

Real Madrid at Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

70–82Final, away–home

Box score

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Stefan Jovic *3111061033+75-101-40-0
Charles Jenkins *226131003+112-51-21-2
Ognjen Kuzmic *2011810011+45-100-01-1
Luka Mitrovic *164110000−42-40-10-0
Nemanja Dangubic *134500010−41-51-31-2
Branko Lazic305300004+62-31-10-0
Marko Simonovic2520212011+166-103-75-8
Milko Bjelica204440103+81-80-22-4
Marko Guduric1912301034+174-62-42-3
Nate Wolters45300021−12-21-10-0
Team200823016511120+1230-6310-2512-20

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Jeffery Taylor *3325211102+18-117-102-2
Sergio Llull *3012451042−14-130-64-4
Gustavo Ayon *244571122−52-30-00-0
Felipe Reyes *194302002+42-50-00-2
Luka Doncic *123120020−81-41-30-0
Dontaye Draper216002002−51-20-04-4
Jaycee Carroll208300010−164-90-50-0
Anthony Randolph175500023−132-50-11-2
Andres Nocioni91201024−60-20-21-2
Trey Thompkins80200003−80-10-00-0
Othello Hunter82210010−31-20-00-0
Team200702916821420−1225-578-2712-16

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q3 02:24Three-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+10.4 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade47–55
  2. Q3 00:57Three-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+10.4 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade49–61
  3. Q3 01:38Three-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+10.3 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade49–58
  4. Q3 04:51Three-point make, Real Madrid+10.2 pp for Real Madrid45–50
  5. Q2 04:48Three-point make, Real Madrid+8.2 pp for Real Madrid28–36

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet BelgradeReal Madrid
Dominance+0.27−0.27
Control50%8%
Drama1.711.71
Comeback66%100%
Crunch0.080.08

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

  1. +14 Q2 07:57 to Q2 05:09 25–22 to 25–36
  2. +8 Q1 08:20 to Q1 06:51 3–0 to 3–8
  3. +6 Q3 01:38 to Q3 00:57 49–55 to 49–61

Real Madrid

  1. +6 Q2 09:16 to Q2 08:27 19–22 to 25–22
  2. +5 Q1 06:35 to Q1 06:06 3–8 to 8–8
  3. +5 Q2 00:49 to Q3 09:43 33–43 to 38–43