2016-17 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 14 · Thu, 22 Dec 2016
Real Madrid at Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade
70–82Final, away–home
Box score
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | FG | 3P | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefan Jovic * | 31 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Charles Jenkins * | 22 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Ognjen Kuzmic * | 20 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Luka Mitrovic * | 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Nemanja Dangubic * | 13 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | −4 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Branko Lazic | 30 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Marko Simonovic | 25 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +16 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 5-8 |
| Milko Bjelica | 20 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +8 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 |
| Marko Guduric | 19 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +17 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Nate Wolters | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | −1 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Team | 200 | 82 | 30 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 20 | +12 | 30-63 | 10-25 | 12-20 |
Real Madrid
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | FG | 3P | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffery Taylor * | 33 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 8-11 | 7-10 | 2-2 |
| Sergio Llull * | 30 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | −1 | 4-13 | 0-6 | 4-4 |
| Gustavo Ayon * | 24 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | −5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Felipe Reyes * | 19 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Luka Doncic * | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | −8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Dontaye Draper | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | −5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 |
| Jaycee Carroll | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | −16 | 4-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Randolph | 17 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | −13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Andres Nocioni | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | −6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Trey Thompkins | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | −8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Othello Hunter | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | −3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Team | 200 | 70 | 29 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 20 | −12 | 25-57 | 8-27 | 12-16 |
* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.
Win probability
The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.
Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.
Biggest swings
- Q3 02:24Three-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+10.4 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade47–55
- Q3 00:57Three-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+10.4 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade49–61
- Q3 01:38Three-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+10.3 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade49–58
- Q3 04:51Three-point make, Real Madrid+10.2 pp for Real Madrid45–50
- Q2 04:48Three-point make, Real Madrid+8.2 pp for Real Madrid28–36
Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.
Game control
| Part | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Dominance | +0.27 | −0.27 |
| Control | 50% | 8% |
| Drama | 1.71 | 1.71 |
| Comeback | 66% | 100% |
| Crunch | 0.08 | 0.08 |
Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.
Scoring runs
A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade
- +14 Q2 07:57 to Q2 05:09 25–22 to 25–36
- +8 Q1 08:20 to Q1 06:51 3–0 to 3–8
- +6 Q3 01:38 to Q3 00:57 49–55 to 49–61
Real Madrid
- +6 Q2 09:16 to Q2 08:27 19–22 to 25–22
- +5 Q1 06:35 to Q1 06:06 3–8 to 8–8
- +5 Q2 00:49 to Q3 09:43 33–43 to 38–43