2015-16 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 7 · Fri, 27 Nov 2015
Real Madrid at Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade
88–94Final, away–home
Box score
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | FG | 3P | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marko Simonovic * | 32 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Quincy Miller * | 30 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +17 | 7-10 | 5-7 | 5-6 |
| Maik Zirbes * | 27 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | −5 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 |
| Branko Lazic * | 24 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | −4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Stefan Jovic * | 19 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | −6 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Nikola Rebic | 21 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Thompson | 16 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | −5 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Marko Guduric | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Vladimir Stimac | 14 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Marko Tejic | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | −7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Borisa Simanic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Team | 205 | 94 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 25 | +6 | 34-61 | 8-19 | 18-22 |
Real Madrid
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | FG | 3P | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Ayon * | 31 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | −4 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaycee Carroll * | 25 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Sergio Llull * | 23 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | −5 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 5-5 |
| Trey Thompkins * | 23 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | −5 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 |
| Jonas Maciulis * | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | −10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Sergio Rodriguez | 28 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | −9 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 2-2 |
| Jeffery Taylor | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | +3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Felipe Reyes | 14 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | −2 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 |
| Andres Nocioni | 13 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 3-3 |
| Rudy Fernandez | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Team | 205 | 88 | 27 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 23 | −6 | 31-66 | 10-31 | 16-16 |
* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.
Win probability
The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.
Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.
Biggest swings
- Q4 00:59Two-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+22.4 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade86–90
- Q4 03:14Three-point make, Real Madrid+21.8 pp for Real Madrid81–83
- Q4 01:15Two-point make, Real Madrid+21.1 pp for Real Madrid86–88
- Q4 02:56Two-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+17.4 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade81–85
- Q4 05:18Three-point make, Real Madrid+16.8 pp for Real Madrid76–79
Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.
Game control
| Part | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Dominance | +0.06 | −0.06 |
| Control | 35% | 23% |
| Drama | 2.48 | 2.48 |
| Comeback | 87% | 98% |
| Crunch | 1.71 | 1.71 |
Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.
Scoring runs
A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade
- +9 Q1 09:06 to Q1 07:36 2–2 to 2–11
- +8 Q1 02:34 to Q1 00:57 16–18 to 16–26
- +7 Q2 05:04 to Q2 04:21 30–35 to 30–42
Real Madrid
- +10 Q2 00:49 to Q3 08:56 37–46 to 47–46
- +8 Q3 06:19 to Q3 05:32 52–50 to 60–50
- +5 Q1 07:19 to Q1 06:02 2–11 to 7–11