6.75

2015-16 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 1 · Fri, 16 Oct 2015

Zalgiris Kaunas at Stelmet Zielona Gora

66–62Final, away–home

Box score

Stelmet Zielona Gora

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Mateusz Ponitka *299602042+23-60-13-5
Lukasz Koszarek *2614120002+36-92-20-0
Vlad Moldoveanu *2616414005+35-93-43-4
J.R. Reynolds *224120023−52-90-10-0
Adam Hrycaniuk *182300004+81-40-00-0
Dee Bost196011023−81-81-33-6
Dejan Borovnjak196200023−101-20-04-4
Nemanja Djurisic172600011−51-30-00-0
Karol Gruszecki113100020−81-30-21-2
Przemyslaw Zamojski10012000100-30-20-2
Szymon Szewczyk3000000000-00-00-0
Team20062258701324−421-566-1514-23

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Mantas Kalnietis *31016004300-30-20-0
Renaldas Seibutis *2811710042+42-71-36-6
Paulius Jankunas *24171121233+86-130-25-6
Edgaras Ulanovas *220150002+30-20-00-0
Ian Vougioukas *122011001−111-10-00-0
Olivier Hanlan2514421001+95-143-71-1
Brock Motum2316610015+26-92-42-2
Robertas Javtokas205501003+92-40-01-2
Martynas Pocius101100003−20-10-01-2
Lukas Lekavicius30001021−20-00-00-0
Team200663618521424+422-546-1816-19

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 01:06Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+27.3 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas64–62
  2. Q4 03:40Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+20.5 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas62–62
  3. Q4 04:16Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+13.4 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas59–62
  4. Q4 00:17Free throw, Zalgiris Kaunas+11.8 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas65–62
  5. Q4 08:47Three-point make, Stelmet Zielona Gora+10.4 pp for Stelmet Zielona Gora49–56

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartStelmet Zielona GoraZalgiris Kaunas
Dominance+0.28−0.28
Control68%5%
Drama2.202.20
Comeback91%90%
Crunch0.890.89

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Stelmet Zielona Gora

  1. +8 Q3 03:35 to Q3 02:14 41–44 to 41–52
  2. +7 Q2 01:00 to Q3 08:06 34–33 to 34–40
  3. +5 Q2 03:41 to Q2 03:13 28–22 to 28–27

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +10 Q4 04:16 to Q4 00:17 56–62 to 66–62
  2. +8 Q2 09:22 to Q2 07:50 15–20 to 23–20
  3. +5 Q2 07:03 to Q2 03:54 23–22 to 28–22