6.75

2015-16 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 5 · Fri, 13 Nov 2015

Real Madrid at Strasbourg

86–93Final, away–home

Box score

Strasbourg

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Rodrigue Beaubois *2716361012+117-141-41-1
Mardy Collins *2514241003−16-100-22-2
Kyle Weems *2212420114+74-83-51-1
Jeremy Leloup *194123004+112-50-30-0
Bangaly Fofana *82210015+181-10-00-0
Louis Campbell3123110043−89-114-51-1
Paul Lacombe202331024+21-70-00-0
Romeo Travis18851111204-60-00-0
Romain Duport174410002+62-50-00-0
Vladimir Golubovic138411011−113-70-02-3
Team200932922821130+739-748-197-8

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Rudy Fernandez *3317312001−15-101-66-6
Sergio Llull *232026213406-84-54-4
Felipe Reyes *219701043−21-50-07-8
Gustavo Ayon *143300423−190-10-03-4
Jaycee Carroll *103100012−181-21-10-0
Jeffery Taylor2821300013+149-101-22-4
Jonas Maciulis211121013+40-30-31-2
Sergio Rodriguez197230021−103-90-51-3
Willy Hernangomez163400112+21-20-01-1
Andres Nocioni152400001−51-70-40-0
Team200863012661523−727-577-2625-32

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q3 08:13Three-point make, Strasbourg+8.2 pp for Strasbourg46–58
  2. Q2 01:16Three-point make, Real Madrid+8.1 pp for Real Madrid44–49
  3. Q2 06:53Three-point make, Strasbourg+8.0 pp for Strasbourg34–35
  4. Q1 01:55Three-point make, Real Madrid+7.8 pp for Real Madrid23–22
  5. Q2 03:55Three-point make, Strasbourg+7.2 pp for Strasbourg37–43

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartStrasbourgReal Madrid
Dominance+0.31−0.31
Control48%20%
Drama1.531.53
Comeback73%100%
Crunch0.120.12

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Strasbourg

  1. +13 Q3 09:14 to Q3 06:39 46–51 to 46–64
  2. +7 Q1 09:45 to Q1 08:29 0–0 to 0–7
  3. +7 Q3 00:31 to Q4 09:27 63–76 to 63–83

Real Madrid

  1. +16 Q1 04:28 to Q1 01:37 9–22 to 25–22
  2. +8 Q4 03:26 to Q4 02:11 70–87 to 78–87
  3. +5 Q3 02:01 to Q3 00:31 58–76 to 63–76